NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfdab7827bcc6553118209bedcf56d4de3fbc4f2df3e4f4c377486c88f522b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,650,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,188,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,650,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Rockets | 41c | 308,588$125,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,114.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rockets | 40c | 291,229$117,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,474.42 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder | 49c | 250,508$123,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,682.98 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…f2f9backed Rockets | 45c | 235,500$105,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,525.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5cebbacked Thunder | 55c | 235,470$129,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,508.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Rockets | 40c | 157,599$63,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,935.34 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…c7e3backed Rockets | 65c | 111,111$72,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,888.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 60c | 101,714$61,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,268.13 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Thunder | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,999.9 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 59c | 94,051$55,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,389.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 60c | 84,506$50,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,703.84 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 59c | 83,750$49,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,412.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 44c | 69,826$30,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,007.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 60c | 63,232$37,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,749.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Rockets | 39c | 51,573$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,573.02 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 43c | 49,175$21,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,949.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rockets | 41c | 48,969$20,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,844.54 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…b828backed Thunder | 58c | 44,560$25,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,845.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Thunder | 34c | 41,653$13,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,990.58 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Rockets | 40c | 36,634$14,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,046.59 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 45c | 35,817$15,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,940.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Rockets | 68c | 34,766$23,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,089.15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 31c | 34,086$10,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,519.2 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets | 41c | 33,379$13,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,691.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Rockets | 40c | 32,595$13,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,491.22 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…d8c1backed Thunder | 63c | 31,663$19,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,947.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 58c | 30,747$17,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,712.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 44c | 29,022$12,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,333.21 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 38c | 26,323$10,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,252.54 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 40c | 26,143$10,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,777.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 51c | 25,539$13,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,040.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Thunder | 59c | 25,007$14,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,754 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 47c | 23,955$11,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,201.49 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Thunder | 60c | 21,131$12,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,605.28 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Rockets | 41c | 20,841$8,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,314.71 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets | 38c | 20,446$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,676.78 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 53c | 20,000$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,699.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 58c | 19,878$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,527.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 69c | 19,295$13,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,313.43 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 36c | 19,087$6,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,911.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 56c | 19,000$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,639.82 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Thunder | 63c | 18,568$11,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,772.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Thunder | 61c | 18,360$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Thunder | 55c | 18,180$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,998.78 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Thunder | 54c | 17,597$9,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,559.21 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 40c | 16,802$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Rockets | 39c | 16,219$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,843.06 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rockets | 44c | 15,792$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848.07 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 45c | 15,706$7,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,057.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 59c | 15,644$9,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Thunder | 54c | 15,198$8,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,207 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Thunder | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 58c | 14,426$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,387.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 59c | 14,319$8,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,414.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…5f12backed Rockets | 37c | 14,018$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,831.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…e9d1backed Rockets | 41c | 13,979$5,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,247.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Thunder | 59c | 13,831$8,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,158.48 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Thunder | 63c | 13,700$8,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,631 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Thunder | 62c | 13,438$8,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,332.12 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Thunder | 57c | 13,059$7,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,384.49 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Thunder | 58c | 12,000$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 57c | 11,966$6,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,836.37 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rockets | 43c | 11,571$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.57 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 56c | 11,049$6,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.25 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Rockets | 52c | 10,127$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Rockets | 43c | 10,084$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.67 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Rockets | 41c | 10,062$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.58 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Rockets | 41c | 10,052$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Rockets | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rockets | 40c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 60c | 9,650$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.56 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Rockets | 41c | 9,597$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.94 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 59c | 9,433$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565.46 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Thunder | 59c | 9,294$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Thunder | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Thunder | 59c | 8,390$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Rockets | 67c | 8,370$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.56 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 49c | 8,200$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.06 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Thunder | 61c | 8,175$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 60c | 8,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Rockets | 58c | 7,792$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.34 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Thunder | 62c | 7,650$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.86 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Rockets | 43c | 7,624$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.38 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Rockets | 43c | 7,584$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rockets | 42c | 7,416$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.51 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Thunder | 21c | 7,058$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.28 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Rockets | 58c | 6,880$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Thunder | 58c | 6,778$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.89 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 59c | 6,521$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Rockets | 37c | 6,197$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.33 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 55c | 6,152$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.81 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rockets | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Thunder | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rockets | 45c | 5,930$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.87 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Rockets | 43c | 5,905$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.02 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Rockets | 47c | 5,812$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.76 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…90d9backed Rockets | 40c | 5,750$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 206.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.