NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33f8ab137c94c88f3a003df310958d33ced2a695fa5bdd17515dd0abc0b396dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Thunder, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $989,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,046,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Thunder | 52c | 678,105$354,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354,358.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 48c | 443,707$211,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,193.53 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Rockets | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Rockets | 48c | 78,084$37,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,603.68 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rockets | 51c | 40,000$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,700 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 51c | 38,999$19,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,889.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 49c | 20,898$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,708.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rockets | 55c | 19,996$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Thunder | 46c | 17,132$7,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,880.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 49c | 16,644$8,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.03 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 49c | 13,859$6,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Thunder | 45c | 13,573$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Rockets | 54c | 12,641$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 48c | 12,113$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,789.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 48c | 11,932$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,187.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 48c | 10,388$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,450.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…0e34backed Thunder | 46c | 10,162$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.8 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rockets | 54c | 10,000$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.07 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…4999backed Rockets | 54c | 9,751$5,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,485.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Rockets | 49c | 9,547$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 51c | 9,088$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 8,417$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Rockets | 48c | 6,940$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.58 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 46c | 6,653$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 46c | 5,435$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Rockets | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.96 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed Rockets | 54c | 4,491$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Rockets | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…6b49backed Rockets | 54c | 4,116$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Thunder | 46c | 4,021$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.69 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…0f78backed Thunder | 46c | 3,975$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Rockets | 45c | 3,966$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.54 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 3,206$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…1da9backed Rockets | 54c | 2,906$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…6133backed Thunder | 46c | 2,802$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,289$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.46 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 50c | 2,136$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 50c | 2,114$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.81 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…dc08backed Rockets | 54c | 2,054$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…9662backed Thunder | 46c | 1,921$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Thunder | 52c | 1,644$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.63 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed Thunder | 50c | 1,636$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 49c | 1,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Thunder | 49c | 1,502$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Rockets | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.77 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Rockets | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Thunder | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Thunder | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…679dbacked Rockets | 54c | 861.64$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 51c | 855.92$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…053dbacked Thunder | 46c | 829.41$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder | 45c | 810$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 46c | 810$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Thunder | 45c | 767$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Rockets | 53c | 766.66$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.85 | 415 | 50.1%208 W · 207 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rockets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Rockets | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Rockets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 51c | 499.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 51c | 499.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.17 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Rockets | 49c | 448.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 47c | 447.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 50c | 431.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Thunder | 45c | 404.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Thunder | 50c | 400.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Rockets | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Rockets | 48c | 340.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 49c | 311.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 47c | 293.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 49c | 268.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Rockets | 48c | 254.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.17 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Thunder | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Rockets | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Thunder | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 47c | 163.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Rockets | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Thunder | 50c | 147.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Thunder | 50c | 145.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Rockets | 47c | 138.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 46c | 130.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Thunder | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 51c | 113.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Rockets | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Thunder | 49c | 107.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder | 48c | 101.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Rockets | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 55c | 96.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…5759backed Rockets | 53c | 93.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…09b8backed Thunder | 48c | 93.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Thunder | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. ThunderRockets won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 206.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.