TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c21,898$9,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,903.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over53c13,039$6,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,128.54465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over56c7,299$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,211.9626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c2,303$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c2,222$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over60c2,095$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.075749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over43c2,003$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.6612844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c2,001$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.472,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8605151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7812051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,883$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79243453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7169049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c1,040$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c977.67$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c923.32$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under47c845$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.151,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Over55c771.51$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4611450%57 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5718…24d4backed Over56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3086767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c632.78$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.141,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over57c529.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.915154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c505.42$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under44c501.12$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over48c334$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over42c245$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.953,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Over57c220.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.752050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.538263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over58c190.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.651,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5718256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under45c171$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.959050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c158.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.323,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under33c155.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0622655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaded…6fa0backed Over56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under43c132$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under45c118$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.18450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Under44c113.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under46c106.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.749150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4936453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over57c96.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c89.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over46c84.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c73.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1755846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over52c72.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.635855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1243246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Under45c44.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.955641.1%23 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…958ebacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.554746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Over55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.552560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c36.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.795,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe0…027abacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4822646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c33.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.853351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf653…d1d6backed Over56c31.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over56c31.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7941556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under47c30.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.053545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Over55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Over56c27.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1811553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Over55c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under47c26.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c26.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over54c23.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7216036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa68d…e03bbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed94…53fcbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under72c19.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.