NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c83392f631d14682e4d7a1c8e7437ff1b775c385e7b0c4554b5590891d58f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 6,345$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,655$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 3,516$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Under | 3c | 2,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 1,989$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 51c | 1,571$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.89 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 1,180$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…83f4backed Under | 5c | 999.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +599%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 738.41$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 34c | 559.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 55c | 547.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 540.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 46c | 512$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 55c | 449$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.44 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 396.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 380.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 54c | 337.04$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 258.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 235.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…717bbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 165.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 44c | 160$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 49c | 153.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 45c | 139$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 51c | 136.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Over | 41c | 136.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…67a5backed Under | 56c | 134.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Over | 38c | 115.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 59c | 99.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 67c | 97.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…b571backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 76.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 67.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 61c | 57.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 46.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 55c | 39.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 37c | 33.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Under | 70c | 15.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Rockets vs. ThunderRockets won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 206.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.