TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$993,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c390,043$198,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,223.187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over52c200,000$104,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,363.965154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c150,000$73,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,5002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c140,000$67,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,10051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c100,373$50,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,866.6840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c80,000$39,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,20024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under50c70,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c64,583$31,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,937.271,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c43,763$21,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,006.4826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c40,607$19,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,911.491,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Over52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,199.984257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c31,654$15,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,446.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c22,550$11,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,3041,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c20,211$9,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,930.152,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c15,336$7,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,928.741,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c10,896$5,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c7,826$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c6,262$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.7258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c5,595$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.2566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over49c5,383$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.3642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c5,153$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5004358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c4,898$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.9638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over52c4,754$2,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.3626640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c4,327$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c3,923$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over52c3,704$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.0182442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under53c3,615$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.8510553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c3,017$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under50c3,013$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.132572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9343348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c2,546$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.471,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over50c2,412$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.7915141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c2,346$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c2,269$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0840041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe855…fba9backed Under48c1,625$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under48c1,446$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69417550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.7121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under48c1,251$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,133$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,074$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c925.34$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.332,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over48c900$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over49c865.31$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3143453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c863.8$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.542,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Under48c812.5$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under48c792.45$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3825951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c648.23$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.043060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under27c494.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c490$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under51c460$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Over52c440$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.28252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over53c433.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9646346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over55c416.43$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ce…b027backed Over51c371.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under49c369.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.379150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Over50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15025347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Over51c291.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.294351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over53c283.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.217460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Under51c272$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.729247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over50c219$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19015534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over68c190.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.013,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over53c182.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.978055%44 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under49c168.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Over52c160.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.262564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabc2…46c4backed Over33c154.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+208.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c149.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9917747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.