TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,109 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2de8…1121backed Under62c3,240$1,994 inLost-$1,99490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over47c2,512$1,172 inWon+$1,340.063,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over38c2,301$869 inWon+$1,431.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c1,646$823 inLost-$8231,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over40c1,136$452 inWon+$684.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c993.1$460 inWon+$533.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c833.14$500 inLost-$499.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under50c416$208 inLost-$20814636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over41c400$164 inWon+$23680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under59c400$236 inLost-$23641652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Under61c329.99$201 inLost-$201.295052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c205.6$103 inLost-$102.841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Over39c173.35$68 inWon+$105.744156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost-$5041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Over26c99.23$26 inWon+$73.224151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over39c92.64$36 inWon+$56.5111748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Over38c85$32 inWon+$52.76839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost-$5025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over16c80.95$13 inWon+$681,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over37c77.08$28 inWon+$48.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over39c64$25 inWon+$39.0453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c60.61$40 inLost-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c60$30 inLost-$3042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c58.87$30 inWon+$28.543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over37c52.38$19 inWon+$333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under63c52.38$33 inLost-$3349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under63c50$32 inLost-$31.537959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over42c49.78$21 inWon+$28.881,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3199…0a40backed Under63c31.75$20 inLost-$202070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under66c30.3$20 inLost-$2033258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…93f2backed Under60c30$18 inLost-$18862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c24…7b9abacked Over40c30$12 inWon+$181060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Under62c29$18 inLost-$17.983658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Under62c29$18 inLost-$17.983458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb79b…cf30backed Under66c27.27$18 inLost-$183452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under62c27$17 inLost-$16.743237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Over40c26$10 inWon+$15.68050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Under54c20.81$11 inLost-$11.2418957.1%108 W · 81 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.