NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5db4329b20d022dbabb16efa11255f0ef31749934b71f088b8035ebebc46b051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,532,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,532,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,088 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Hawks | 51c | 822,553$419,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403,330.41 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 49c | 289,471$141,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,630.46 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucks | 51c | 255,538$130,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,324.39 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks | 49c | 152,653$74,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,799.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 50c | 151,229$75,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,614.6 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 43c | 146,910$62,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,704.3 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bucks | 50c | 120,000$60,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,400 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bucks | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bucks | 50c | 96,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hawks | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Bucks | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Bucks | 52c | 74,998$38,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.06 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 49c | 73,000$36,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,009.94 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Hawks | 48c | 55,768$26,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.1 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bucks | 50c | 53,976$26,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,988.12 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 49c | 52,117$25,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,774.26 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 56c | 48,567$27,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,307.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Hawks | 72c | 39,707$28,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,944.38 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bucks | 53c | 32,801$17,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,384.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hawks | 47c | 32,799$15,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,383.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 9c | 31,268$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 48c | 31,001$14,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,106.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Bucks | 52c | 31,000$16,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,250 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Hawks | 48c | 31,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,249.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 50c | 30,860$15,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,471.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 30c | 27,212$8,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,032.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 37c | 26,289$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,633.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 38c | 25,039$9,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,508.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 32c | 25,000$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.89 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bucks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Hawks | 48c | 24,690$11,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,838.58 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bucks | 35c | 24,597$8,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,543.26 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 52c | 24,029$12,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,409.76 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Hawks | 63c | 23,678$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,678.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 38c | 23,442$8,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,804.96 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Hawks | 69c | 22,757$15,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,083.66 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hawks | 71c | 21,713$15,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Bucks | 51c | 21,293$10,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,873.18 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…352abacked Hawks | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…d621backed Bucks | 52c | 20,408$10,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,612 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Bucks | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.96 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Hawks | 50c | 19,772$9,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 59c | 19,499$11,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,058.73 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 49c | 18,531$9,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 50c | 18,045$9,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 52c | 17,919$9,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,317.93 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Hawks | 45c | 17,863$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,863.26 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks | 52c | 17,800$9,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,256 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Hawks | 48c | 17,800$8,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Bucks | 52c | 16,279$8,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,454.02 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Hawks | 47c | 16,005$7,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,482.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks | 36c | 15,882$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,242.88 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 51c | 15,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Bucks | 47c | 14,785$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Hawks | 49c | 14,067$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Bucks | 36c | 14,048$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bucks | 1c | 13,800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 12,850$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Bucks | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 50c | 11,808$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Hawks | 47c | 11,775$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.73 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 11,706$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Hawks | 49c | 11,110$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.65 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Hawks | 45c | 11,100$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,105 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Bucks | 3c | 10,865$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks | 49c | 10,697$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.41 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bucks | 51c | 10,450$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.5 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Hawks | 34c | 10,294$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Hawks | 49c | 10,210$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,207.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Hawks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Hawks | 36c | 10,140$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.78 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Bucks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Bucks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Bucks | 51c | 10,000$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 50c | 9,877$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Bucks | 61c | 9,774$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Bucks | 53c | 9,352$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.69 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 50c | 8,995$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.77 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…cc7cbacked Bucks | 53c | 8,650$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 39c | 8,586$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Bucks | 49c | 8,521$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.23 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bucks | 23c | 8,400$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.06 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 53c | 8,280$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.49 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hawks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 15c | 8,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 49c | 8,000$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.84 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bucks | 49c | 7,500$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Bucks | 55c | 7,455$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Bucks | 51c | 7,345$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.01 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 19c | 7,125$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.18 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Hawks | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 8c | 6,910$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.2 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Hawks | 48c | 6,785$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.22 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 49c | 6,782$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.28 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 6,550$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Hawks | 55c | 6,357$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.54 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Hawks | 46c | 6,322$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.12 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Bucks | 64c | 6,307$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Bucksthis page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.