NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0428b6fd2d351216a4cbfe897c00e6711afac5d5326dbfda170a5026f6388862

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $685,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,339 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks	48c	514,280$246,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267,425.38	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks	52c	250,000$130,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	52c	200,000$104,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks	55c	48,249$26,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,619.41	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Bucks	53c	24,271$12,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,863.42	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks	52c	22,260$11,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,575.34	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hawks	47c	21,277$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,276.6	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks	52c	15,111$7,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,857.55	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Hawks	44c	14,937$6,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,364.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	47c	14,103$6,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,493.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks	48c	11,563$5,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,023.47	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	52c	9,799$5,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,127.38	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks	52c	7,871$4,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,092.98	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f3…3110backed Hawks	46c	7,391$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,991.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks	48c	7,217$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,497.86	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	50c	6,607$3,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,303.61	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Bucks	53c	6,340$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,360	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Hawks	48c	5,760$2,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,002.56	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks	44c	5,455$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,054.55	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hawks	44c	4,975$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,786.13	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks	44c	4,958$2,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,776.33	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,119.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	54c	3,628$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,958.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bucks	53c	3,367$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.83	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks	47c	3,340$1,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,762.57	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks	52c	3,333$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.16	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks	73c	3,320$2,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,410.34	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks	52c	3,200$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks	56c	3,186$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.47	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd56…dd56backed Bucks	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	52c	2,778$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.37	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	47c	2,614$1,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,388.11	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Hawks	47c	2,570$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.73	203	55.2%112 W · 91 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Hawks	44c	2,443$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,368.18	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks	53c	2,286$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,212.17	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks	47c	2,000$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.53	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hawks	47c	1,805$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$955.38	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks	52c	1,697$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.44	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	54c	1,495$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.07	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks	36c	1,429$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.65	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks	44c	1,428$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.68	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Hawks	48c	1,242$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.78	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Bucks	51c	1,173$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.23	314	55.1%173 W · 141 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks	51c	1,172$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.72	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Hawks	48c	1,101$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.52	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Hawks	46c	1,063$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.04	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks	48c	1,034$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.68	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hawks	29c	1,010$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$715.21	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Bucks	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Bucks	54c	928.62$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hawks	45c	888.89$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.89	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	52c	796.68$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.72	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Bucks	53c	740$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.2	187	43.3%81 W · 106 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Bucks	52c	706.6$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.43	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bucks	71c	704.23$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Bucks	54c	648.15$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Bucks	49c	623.22$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.88	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks	44c	554.55$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.55	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Bucks	52c	499.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c37…ad47backed Bucks	44c	452.42$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-67%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hawks	47c	427.1$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.12	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	54c	410.87$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.87	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Hawks	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks	20c	399.45$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.89	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bucks	55c	361.04$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Bucks	8c	350.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	448	21.4%96 W · 352 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Bucks	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa583…2928backed Bucks	63c	295.6$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks	50c	271.24$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.3	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea8…6ef8backed Bucks	54c	267.32$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.59	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks	20c	266.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Bucks	54c	260$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.4	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hawks	25c	258.21$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.69	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks	55c	256.66$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.56	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks	48c	250$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b2…4655backed Hawks	46c	243.33$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.4	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6df…0814backed Hawks	46c	210.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.57	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	48c	209.45$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.56	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	52c	207.66$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.98	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…0d85backed Hawks	48c	206.25$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.25	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Bucks	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Hawks	48c	197.92$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Bucks	50c	194.69$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.9	342	48.8%167 W · 175 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hawks	48c	192.3$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Hawks	39c	191.25$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	230	47.4%109 W · 121 L	+19.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dda…e7a7backed Bucks	55c	186.32$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.39per pick	53cpaid	-73%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Bucks	60c	165.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	296	46.6%138 W · 158 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks	77c	163.37$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.07	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hawks	46c	160.17$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.05	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bucks	17c	160$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Hawks	46c	152.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Bucks	11c	149.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Bucks	53c	149.06$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Hawks	47c	145.51$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.51	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Bucks	53c	141.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Bucks	57c	140.35$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Bucks	54c	130$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)this page
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Hawks vs. BucksHawks won
Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 12.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event