TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,961 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c24,104$12,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,775.091,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Under0c16,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c11,307$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,974.329,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c9,739$4,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.622,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under52c9,618$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.865945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c6,379$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.8722648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over47c5,240$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.9719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Over46c4,690$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.149343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under40c3,741$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.31,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over46c3,200$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c3,046$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c2,957$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Under54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3507759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Under54c2,361$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.452060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under13c2,262$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5928616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c1,788$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c1,311$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under30c1,292$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.826839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.812,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Under41c1,200$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under28c992.65$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.023,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under51c989.97$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.8834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under53c846.77$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over47c808.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c800.57$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.323,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c788.24$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c696.58$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.154,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over47c599.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c404.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Under45c399.21$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Under7c394.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9944821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under53c393$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under53c390.25$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under10c375.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.941,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Over49c336.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.732937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under53c313.21$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over49c270.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under32c237.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over63c234.71$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c228.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.31,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Under54c227.31$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7517236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Under22c223.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under25c210.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over47c210.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under32c210.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over47c207.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2612552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under54c190.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.666953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Under27c187.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.463441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over46c186.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under53c177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8123946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under54c172.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0615154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9413045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c139.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over59c135.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over49c122.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.651,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under21c119.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.126048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c108.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.622,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under41c102.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9634248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6784…36c2backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9677…116fbacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…526bbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over48c98.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1214155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over47c77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8123950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Under18c73.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2612737%47 W · 80 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4219166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…e0fdbacked Under22c57.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c57.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1912152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over71c51.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6616369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over70c46.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8645653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Over48c41.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.429850%49 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215041.3%62 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over50c39.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.825648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over46c36.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over49c34.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.698143.2%35 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Over49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.819760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafcd…8014backed Over49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6117652.3%92 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Over50c30.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0318054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Over60c28.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3311949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3601…cbd5backed Over49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.772853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad71…11dcbacked Under53c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over47c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4552552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.