NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc24781069d3b506445687535be135af609c1fa8a0dc786d5f10b600545e6676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,961 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 24,104$12,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,775.09 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 11,307$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 9,739$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under | 52c | 9,618$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 47c | 6,379$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.87 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 47c | 5,240$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.97 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 46c | 4,690$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.14 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 40c | 3,741$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.3 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 3,200$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 3,046$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 2,957$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…048abacked Under | 54c | 2,361$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 13c | 2,262$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 1,788$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 1,311$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 30c | 1,292$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Under | 41c | 1,200$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 28c | 992.65$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 51c | 989.97$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.88 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under | 53c | 846.77$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 808.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 800.57$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 788.24$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 696.58$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 404.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Under | 45c | 399.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 7c | 394.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 393$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 53c | 390.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 10c | 375.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Over | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 32c | 237.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 234.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 228.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Under | 54c | 227.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Under | 22c | 223.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 25c | 210.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 32c | 210.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 47c | 207.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.26 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under | 54c | 190.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…627cbacked Under | 27c | 187.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 46c | 186.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 53c | 177$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 59c | 135.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 122.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 21c | 119.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 108.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 41c | 102.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…36c2backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…526bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 48c | 98.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 18c | 73.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e0fdbacked Under | 22c | 57.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 57.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 71c | 51.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 70c | 46.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Over | 48c | 41.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 46c | 36.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 50c | 30.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…11dcbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5this page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. BucksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.