NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9344aedcbe851b1187a4b45834b285fda39c65c9f9bc5a59335fdd35cd735f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,337 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 31,200$14,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,970.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 15,000$7,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.08 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 11,409$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.62 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Under | 47c | 8,862$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 47c | 6,664$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 6,024$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.23 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…b675backed Under | 2c | 4,762$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Under | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…ba4cbacked Under | 48c | 4,061$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Under | 46c | 4,004$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 3,896$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 3,465$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 3,230$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.45 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…1acebacked Under | 18c | 3,134$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.75 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,940$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.19 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,748$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 52c | 2,712$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.77 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 2,533$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Over | 54c | 2,399$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 52c | 2,345$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.6 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 79c | 1,894$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 1,848$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.42 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 66c | 1,676$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,658$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,606$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Over | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Under | 48c | 1,368$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.46 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 1,216$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.68 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 1,204$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 29c | 1,024$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 991.87$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.1 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 985.92$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 979.17$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.35 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 28c | 702.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 52c | 694.54$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 673.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 667$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 29c | 639.73$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 53c | 600$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…ca51backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…c95cbacked Over | 53c | 572$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 542$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.88 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 28c | 500.24$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 56c | 468$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 52c | 426$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 421$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 15c | 414.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 48c | 382.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…da0cbacked Under | 18c | 381$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 6c | 351.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…1b8bbacked Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 300.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…796abacked Under | 47c | 291$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 8c | 287.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…abc8backed Under | 47c | 281$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 22c | 278.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 42c | 263.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 22c | 260.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 53c | 225.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 8c | 210.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…9349backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 194.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 52c | 191.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 180.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 160.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 53c | 135$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Under | 48c | 133.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 54c | 126.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Under | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Under | 48c | 123.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 9c | 112.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 54c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…4f7ebacked Over | 53c | 107.83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Under | 34c | 107.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 53c | 93.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5this page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. BucksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.