NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08f6442b393b416b197fad5baf143093f01c404d200783c82b8af3cd83b10de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,262 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 23,808$11,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,904.09 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 17,240$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,619.85 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e296backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…f689backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 6,379$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.29 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 3,831$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.42 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 3,036$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 49c | 2,475$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.44 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 50c | 2,340$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.53 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 2,263$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 2,230$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,711$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,421$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 26c | 1,396$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 848.52$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 693.53$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.83 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 8c | 284.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd56…dd56backed Over | 50c | 281.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 270.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…7e01backed Under | 35c | 241.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Under | 44c | 239.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 50c | 227.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 216.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…589ebacked Under | 8c | 150.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 17c | 135.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 108.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 50c | 79.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Over | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Under | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 59c | 68.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 43c | 64.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 59.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 79c | 58.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 50.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 49c | 22.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 20.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5this page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Hawks vs. BucksHawks won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.