TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Pacers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,544,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,988,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,544,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,947 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Bucks48c326,447$157,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,017.019043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Pacers54c200,000$108,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,999.973534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers52c182,089$94,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,218.241,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers53c152,000$80,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,559.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Pacers52c139,005$72,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,407.012568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks46c117,534$54,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,057.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks46c69,823$32,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,704.559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers54c63,000$33,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,76048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Pacers51c54,048$27,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,298.2422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pacers50c52,345$26,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,128.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks46c48,555$22,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,056.581,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pacers52c47,391$24,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,643.2217646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers53c43,442$22,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,846.421,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Bucks48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,799.8820551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bucks49c39,927$19,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,362.7637539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks46c39,000$18,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,864.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers53c36,406$19,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,195.622,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks49c35,542$17,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,126.5951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks47c35,209$16,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,528.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks47c35,000$16,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks48c30,076$14,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,705.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bucks47c30,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,80019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers54c29,903$16,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,147.751,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks48c25,890$12,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,462.8114358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Bucks48c25,610$12,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,317.25251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Bucks47c25,463$11,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,495.3917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers50c24,882$12,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,536.421,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks48c23,928$11,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,541.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers1c23,397$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.055213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Bucks40c22,222$8,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,333.1927251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8b…0124backed Pacers51c22,138$11,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,290.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371e…b4bebacked Bucks52c20,908$10,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,035.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks59c20,779$12,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,420.741,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks48c20,629$9,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,791.6972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks46c20,456$9,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,046.430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9deb…0165backed Bucks49c20,357$10,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,328.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pacers52c20,005$10,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,352.5519150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Pacers52c20,002$10,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,401.015349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Pacers52c20,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Pacers6c19,447$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks51c19,271$9,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,424.122,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers53c19,000$10,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,07024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef9…0a67backed Pacers48c18,867$9,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,057.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks48c17,908$8,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,316.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c16,288$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Bucks47c14,500$6,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,684.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Pacers0c14,010$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5125143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Bucks44c13,169$5,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.5314344.8%64 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pacers51c12,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Pacers54c11,000$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.9919747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Bucks46c10,742$4,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800.687035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks50c10,569$5,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,284.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks47c10,533$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,626.9728649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks58c10,376$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Pacers14c10,274$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.829733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers54c10,142$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.1320945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880a…e678backed Pacers46c10,001$4,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,606.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9931445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Bucks50c9,945$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,945.132045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Bucks50c9,900$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9509758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Pacers50c9,900$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95010035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Bucks49c9,100$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,64114245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Pacers52c8,689$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.121942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pacers53c8,451$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe855…fba9backed Bucks48c8,333$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Pacers46c8,088$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Pacers13c7,982$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Bucks49c7,860$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.4821440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers23c7,857$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.3580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Pacers64c7,829$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.566240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers59c7,741$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.583,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8520…8e06backed Pacers57c7,735$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.821947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers1c7,494$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.951,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers1c7,331$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0127917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Pacers9c7,032$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.418030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks46c6,848$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.8331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks50c6,838$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pacers51c6,801$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.514055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bucks48c6,800$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.7914945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks48c6,679$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.242,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Bucks47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bucks47c6,354$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.6210949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Pacers53c6,287$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3328041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Bucks48c6,257$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.0739051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks48c6,222$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.4445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bucks49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4515435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Bucks46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks58c5,912$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Bucks49c5,808$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.191735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks68c5,775$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.011,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Pacers53c5,714$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.5712955%71 W · 58 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks47c5,658$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.7189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bucks50c5,638$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Bucks45c5,549$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.4862652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Bucks46c5,520$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.86451.6%33 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Bucks46c5,431$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,932.7420947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Bucks48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.331560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c5,160$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.948820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.