NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa597f6a754e510fdb54ab0c7375f929864f4b783bbba986cb9618c7b5b2089fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 10,759$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.31 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 8,425$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 47c | 8,334$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.85 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Over | 53c | 7,688$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Over | 55c | 5,353$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.12 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 5,302$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 69c | 4,964$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.65 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 4,590$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 61c | 1,926$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 1,815$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 46c | 1,198$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 1,092$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 820.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 775.7$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 47c | 760.06$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.83 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 58c | 699.64$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 47c | 685.06$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…fe53backed Over | 57c | 531.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.06 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 53c | 433.09$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 399.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…8da1backed Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Under | 48c | 279.17$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 279.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 256.3$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Over | 43c | 158$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 25c | 134.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 80.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 67.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 47c | 45.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 49c | 40.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 38.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Under | 52c | 37.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 67c | 36.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…4ce2backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 46c | 26.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 42c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 46c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Over | 53c | 22.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 47c | 21.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…d2b9backed Over | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5this page
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.