NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe599769730f2c516245fbd3724f4d3f5f0d0ffbe7832fa9a64888371b440eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 52c | 12,141$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270.37 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 45c | 11,223$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 55c | 9,522$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 53c | 8,016$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be6…41aebacked Pacers | 55c | 6,610$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…99c0backed Bucks | 45c | 6,610$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks | 48c | 6,245$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.4 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 48c | 6,183$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Pacers | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 45c | 5,465$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 47c | 5,360$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.59 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Bucks | 48c | 4,912$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Bucks | 47c | 4,522$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.13 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Bucks | 45c | 3,845$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.79 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 3,384$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 61c | 3,212$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Bucks | 48c | 2,714$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Pacers | 55c | 2,321$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Bucks | 45c | 2,321$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 53c | 2,207$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 56c | 2,147$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bucks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,639$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.43 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 52c | 1,300$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Pacers | 6c | 1,120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers | 54c | 915$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pacers | 43c | 760.66$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Bucks | 46c | 652.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 2c | 652.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Bucks | 48c | 622.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.29 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 48c | 572.92$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Pacers | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 48c | 388.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bucks | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bucks | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Pacers | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bucks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bucks | 46c | 271$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Pacers | 56c | 268.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 53c | 261.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bucks | 47c | 236.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pacers | 54c | 222.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Bucks | 46c | 217.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers | 48c | 207.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Bucks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…92bbbacked Bucks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pacers | 57c | 194.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Pacers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bucks | 46c | 169.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 48c | 160.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 48c | 148.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bucks | 47c | 123.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Bucks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucks | 43c | 106.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Pacers | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pacers | 56c | 94.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Pacers | 57c | 92.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…e045backed Bucks | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Pacers | 57c | 85.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bucks | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bucks | 48c | 69.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 48c | 67.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Pacers | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Bucks | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Bucks | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Bucks | 46c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucks | 48c | 52.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Bucks | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Bucks | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Bucks | 45c | 46.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Bucks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Bucks | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…fcfabacked Bucks | 45c | 42.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Bucks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Bucks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Pacers | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Bucks | 46c | 39.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…d84abacked Pacers | 54c | 39.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Pacers | 55c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Bucks | 48c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Bucks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 44c | 30.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Bucks | 49c | 30.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Bucks | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…4edbbacked Bucks | 46c | 29.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Bucks | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Bucks | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pacers | 52c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…4ce2backed Pacers | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Bucks | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Bucks | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)this page
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.