TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under56c4,794$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.351,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c3,503$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c3,391$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.361,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c3,365$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c2,346$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.552,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c1,956$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Under72c1,342$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.57240.3%29 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51645647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c1,200$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c1,022$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c925.8$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c660.14$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c659.22$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over47c636.28$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c613$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.111,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c489.74$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c468.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under53c420$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.48252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under53c415.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c402.84$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under55c359.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c353.05$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.41,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c325.81$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c318$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.521,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Under53c287.13$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9510255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under54c278.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c241.82$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.821,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c226.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.412,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over45c221.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.973330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over49c182.04$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.21827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over32c173.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under72c164.03$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.693756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c159.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c156.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over18c142.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4521642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Over42c140$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under53c135$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over51c130.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2453149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over46c124$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.044553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over44c119.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over44c115.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5266646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under55c113.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7349358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over50c94.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2920949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under55c91.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c90.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.443,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under66c85.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2119050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c24…7b9abacked Over49c72.73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under61c69.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.121,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c67.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.312,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2174…fad8backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under53c56.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over53c51.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under55c51.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74c…2413backed Under55c48.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.012857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over45c44.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under57c44.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.460267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over44c37.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3943958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edc…55ecbacked Under53c36.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over48c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Over47c32.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6da1…d6bcbacked Over47c30.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.737959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.84052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.175565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Under54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c27.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Under54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.962445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked Over51c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…0cccbacked Over49c23.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Under54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87154.9%39 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Under52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.