NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29855e186f872deb4be0f69576298195d04d1958749d76ed2f63b3b0bd171aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 8,136$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 49c | 6,224$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.49 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 5,289$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.75 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 54c | 4,204$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.4 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…97debacked Under | 49c | 3,622$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 3,220$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 2,810$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 2,506$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 2,504$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.2 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 2,486$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.64 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,317$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,031$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…e094backed Over | 49c | 449.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 432.12$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 50c | 208.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…5733backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 130.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 116.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 111.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 53c | 105.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 47c | 85.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 52c | 60.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 34.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 30.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 23.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 54c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5this page
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Pacers vs. BucksBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.