TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c33,909$17,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,741.2616752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c21,706$10,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,746.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over47c12,000$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c6,940$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.522,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c5,943$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c4,475$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.3637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over54c3,689$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c2,915$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,808$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over54c2,791$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c2,622$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Over54c2,444$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.7539051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c2,221$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,178$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.4380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668f…4c0fbacked Over55c1,232$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.546765.7%44 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under46c1,043$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.487245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…1bd8backed Over50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504564.4%29 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…6191backed Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under50c757$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…b896backed Over53c699.98$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.994465.9%29 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over49c604.46$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c562.62$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9947856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Under46c431.74$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-72.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19628348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3610048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c370$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c342.39$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.892,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c331.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.261,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…61f0backed Over51c275.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.472665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c266.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c230.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.762,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over54c219.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c213.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.442,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…4eaebacked Under48c209.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Over53c189.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over55c182.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd430…e2bdbacked Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Under52c171.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.153256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c159.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…93e9backed Over55c156.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.924571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa8…1289backed Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c148.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over49c144.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.963330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c110.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1437665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under64c104.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.312,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5149351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2219647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over29c89.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4319050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c88.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over54c85.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.971,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3350351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Under48c82.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.697545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdec…a3a7backed Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.64065%26 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Over48c67.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.894654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e6…6bebbacked Over41c62.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.142245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.131,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over49c58.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac8…d2b9backed Over51c56.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under52c56.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8857657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under51c55.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.711,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c50.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ff…7b88backed Under47c50.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over52c48.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3433653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.084953.1%26 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c42.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a57…4f76backed Over51c40.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.