TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26db…6191

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst IPO at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35.78
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.27
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.88
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$150
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.4
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.54
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$24.31
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.49
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.6
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$880
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$790
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$297
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$283
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.