TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,505,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,396,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,505,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No79c389,149$306,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,407.8674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No79c238,581$187,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,714.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No78c232,350$180,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,820.6729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes22c228,497$50,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,269.2715552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c159,688$25,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,628.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes23c126,730$29,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,1486524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes21c100,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.981915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes21c91,394$19,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,192.7933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes23c70,000$16,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,10042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No78c54,272$42,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,974.2724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes4c49,529$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.7713811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yes14c38,512$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,391.735328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c29,155$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c27,721$21,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,100.961,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes14c25,069$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.7114232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c20,999$16,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.817269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes16c17,612$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes14c17,593$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No78c17,025$13,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.5530751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Yes22c15,960$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.23545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c15,478$12,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.821,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes20c14,659$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes22c14,047$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes6c13,965$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.88231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed No78c13,903$10,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.612653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c13,044$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.771705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes13c13,014$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.9216041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c12,173$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes22c12,100$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.9916647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7900…9468backed Yes3c11,370$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes22c10,819$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.6817452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No78c10,334$8,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.4828162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…3e89backed Yes2c10,111$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.411219.6%22 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes22c9,333$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.26595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c9,158$7,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Yes22c9,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes6c9,000$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1424526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No78c8,901$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.1321343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c8,530$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.7379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa80…cafebacked Yes13c7,430$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes4c7,186$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.426741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9347643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3762…24bfbacked Yes22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes21c6,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes5c5,917$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.15417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes6c5,672$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4721633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes4c5,556$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019124.6%47 W · 144 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No78c5,500$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9247144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes22c5,182$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…7954backed Yes21c5,016$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.114829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes22c4,945$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.944524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes8c4,906$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2310624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd4…b90abacked No78c4,900$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.942254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c4,808$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.6955045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…89a4backed Yes23c4,764$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed No78c4,600$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.974544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004250%21 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes16c4,508$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes22c4,414$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.0658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes8c4,413$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No78c4,398$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.571,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No78c4,392$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.131,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes23c4,357$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes22c4,330$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.8895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes15c4,288$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.277751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes18c4,273$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Yes23c4,240$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb48f…8abebacked Yes6c4,234$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88017235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84019148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No77c3,974$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.151,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes2c3,970$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3845039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes3c3,827$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No78c3,814$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5115746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No79c3,781$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.3318246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes23c3,740$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed Yes3c3,659$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes3c3,617$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes4c3,595$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011033.6%37 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bd…0402backed Yes14c3,501$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.18119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x005e…67ffbacked Yes22c3,382$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7446533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No78c3,344$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.674738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Yes22c3,318$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb68…9bf0backed Yes1c3,274$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+192.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c3,263$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9946223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Yes9c3,252$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.144035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes5c3,220$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2945528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes2c3,213$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465b…fe58backed Yes22c3,184$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.48633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes22c3,182$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…b4c0backed Yes23c3,087$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.