Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffa05800960fb8b1532c0f3f99f51b4996c9b447b0b195635e644e071e4b63e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,505,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,396,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,505,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 79c | 389,149$306,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,407.86 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 238,581$187,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,714.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 78c | 232,350$180,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,820.67 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 22c | 228,497$50,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,269.27 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 159,688$25,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,628.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 23c | 126,730$29,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,148 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…89b1backed Yes | 21c | 100,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,999.98 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 21c | 91,394$19,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,192.79 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 23c | 70,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 78c | 54,272$42,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,974.27 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 4c | 49,529$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.77 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Yes | 14c | 38,512$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.73 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 29,155$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 27,721$21,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.96 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 14c | 25,069$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.71 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 77c | 20,999$16,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.81 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 16c | 17,612$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 14c | 17,593$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 17,025$13,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.55 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 22c | 15,960$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 15,478$12,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.82 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 20c | 14,659$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.4 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 14,047$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 6c | 13,965$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.8 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed No | 78c | 13,903$10,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 13,044$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 13c | 13,014$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.92 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 12,173$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 22c | 12,100$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…9468backed Yes | 3c | 11,370$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 22c | 10,819$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.68 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 10,334$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.48 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 2c | 10,111$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.96 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Yes | 22c | 9,333$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.26 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 9,158$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.28 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 6c | 9,000$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.14 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 78c | 8,901$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.13 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 8,530$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.73 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…cafebacked Yes | 13c | 7,430$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes | 4c | 7,186$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 78c | 7,000$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.93 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…24bfbacked Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.91 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,917$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.15 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 6c | 5,672$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.47 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,556$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 78c | 5,500$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.92 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,182$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…7954backed Yes | 21c | 5,016$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.11 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3c01backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.95 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 22c | 4,945$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.9 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 8c | 4,906$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.23 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…b90abacked No | 78c | 4,900$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 4,808$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.69 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…89a4backed Yes | 23c | 4,764$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed No | 78c | 4,600$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 16c | 4,508$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.68 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 22c | 4,414$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.06 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 8c | 4,413$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 78c | 4,398$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.57 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 78c | 4,392$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.13 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 4,357$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 22c | 4,330$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.88 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…8316backed Yes | 15c | 4,288$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.27 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 4,273$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.14 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Yes | 23c | 4,240$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…8abebacked Yes | 6c | 4,234$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 3,974$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.15 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 2c | 3,970$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 3c | 3,827$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 78c | 3,814$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.51 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 3,781$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.33 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes | 23c | 3,740$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…6426backed Yes | 3c | 3,659$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 3c | 3,617$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,595$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bd…0402backed Yes | 14c | 3,501$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…67ffbacked Yes | 22c | 3,382$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 78c | 3,344$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.67 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…3122backed Yes | 22c | 3,318$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 166 | 37.3%62 W · 104 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…9bf0backed Yes | 1c | 3,274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 3,263$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5c95backed Yes | 9c | 3,252$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 5c | 3,220$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,213$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…fe58backed Yes | 22c | 3,184$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…b4c0backed Yes | 23c | 3,087$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?this page
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?No won
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.