TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,022,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,022,912 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Bucks48c463,373$222,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,418.35154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns53c458,769$245,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213,724.3587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Bucks46c172,000$79,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,119.698944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Suns52c132,293$68,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,500.8648343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Suns53c93,857$49,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,112.9111955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Suns54c92,592$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,592.2743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Suns52c80,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,40027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns54c64,074$34,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,474.081,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns52c58,511$30,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,085.1472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns55c54,545$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,545.4536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bucks47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,50043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns52c48,024$25,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,901.774748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Bucks46c40,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,2006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks48c34,905$16,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,670.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks46c33,661$15,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,432.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks43c26,968$11,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,649.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bucks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Suns61c24,996$15,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,730.3120744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks45c24,885$11,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,188.531,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks47c23,444$11,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,020.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Bucks46c23,174$10,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,659.666651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Bucks7c22,969$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Suns62c22,843$14,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,588.461,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks45c21,621$9,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,745.3231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Suns52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Suns56c19,405$10,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.2710045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks47c18,825$8,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,847.761,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks47c18,504$8,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,708.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Bucks47c17,000$7,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,939.9457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bucks40c15,785$6,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,369.3726353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Bucks48c15,758$7,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.8422143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Suns52c15,311$7,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,343.431,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Suns51c13,638$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.1752760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks1c13,353$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.937211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns54c12,844$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.341,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks5c12,555$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.61,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Suns53c12,117$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,695.5742153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks3c12,003$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.561,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns53c12,000$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.821,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2a…9f7ebacked Bucks48c11,168$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Suns56c10,708$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,708.1212844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c10,622$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.115213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks47c10,457$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,91520948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks3c10,294$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.289629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Bucks46c10,201$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6928441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Suns54c10,200$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.975444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bucks48c10,128$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,859.4939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47d…c0dcbacked Bucks46c10,101$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6461040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Suns54c10,100$5,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.999054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Bucks45c9,699$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.542832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Bucks48c9,469$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.0424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks48c9,335$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.3641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Suns51c9,155$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.8440446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns53c9,120$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.0365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks46c9,018$4,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1522,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Bucks48c9,005$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.6823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Bucks45c8,955$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.3335547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks33c8,552$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.122,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Bucks46c8,502$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9106943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Suns54c8,500$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.982646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Bucks40c8,400$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.5612524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Suns79c8,301$6,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.416065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.4845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bucks47c7,861$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.9219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Suns52c7,850$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,767.911,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Bucks45c7,447$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.3613442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Suns52c6,966$3,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.1462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks45c6,903$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.992,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Bucks45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Bucks48c6,238$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.2417144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks49c6,150$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks47c6,026$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Bucks48c6,000$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.212832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Suns53c5,950$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.620454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Suns53c5,889$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.2327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe90…29a1backed Suns53c5,840$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Suns52c5,812$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.4310523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffa4…b107backed Bucks47c5,800$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c5,705$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8a…2ab2backed Bucks48c5,500$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bucks46c5,500$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Suns54c5,493$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.582532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Suns54c5,480$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.820349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb084…e294backed Bucks47c5,300$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+93.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bucks48c5,261$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50012740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c9d…a903backed Suns54c5,200$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Suns79c5,135$4,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.9631453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Suns52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.2825947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks45c5,000$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2701,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Suns56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Bucks46c5,000$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.0614738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bucks46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bucks47c4,911$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.0580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bucks44c4,767$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.3337557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks1c4,581$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.811,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…9744backed Bucks43c4,540$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efc…65c0backed Bucks46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks34c4,472$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.953,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Suns66c4,459$2,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.4816162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.