NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7e9a4a84dcafce0f4fb1c5f8bd289eba08b2c8827c9c159aa57a883fabed1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 49c | 188,163$91,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,770.09 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks | 52c | 86,441$44,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,653.72 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 51c | 53,452$27,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,308.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 29,515$15,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,094.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Suns | 46c | 18,532$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011.06 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 54c | 16,714$9,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,025.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks | 52c | 9,269$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 51c | 8,395$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Bucks | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 49c | 6,382$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 49c | 6,181$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.17 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bucks | 54c | 4,831$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.76 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 53c | 3,045$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns | 49c | 2,160$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.59 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Bucks | 52c | 2,142$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.5 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Bucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Bucks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 48c | 1,571$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Bucks | 51c | 1,557$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.81 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Suns | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.08 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 50c | 912.61$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.3 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Suns | 49c | 883.6$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.41 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bucks | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 805.28$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Suns | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks | 54c | 648.2$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 53c | 599.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Suns | 48c | 562.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.76 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 54c | 555.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Suns | 48c | 531.3$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bucks | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Suns | 46c | 426$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Suns | 46c | 425.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Bucks | 54c | 401$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 53c | 380.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…56a4backed Suns | 46c | 372.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Suns | 50c | 353.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 54c | 329.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks | 52c | 304.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Bucks | 52c | 300.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 46c | 252.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 51c | 230.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 47c | 212.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns | 49c | 204.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 52c | 201.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Bucks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Suns | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Bucks | 51c | 175.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Bucks | 58c | 171.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucks | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Suns | 51c | 143.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 45c | 130.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Bucks | 54c | 129.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Suns | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Suns | 46c | 108.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Bucks | 54c | 107.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Suns | 50c | 106.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Suns | 47c | 100.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Bucks | 54c | 94.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Bucks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Suns | 50c | 89.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…591ebacked Suns | 50c | 89.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Suns | 50c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks | 46c | 79.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Bucks | 52c | 78.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Bucks | 52c | 71.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Suns | 49c | 68.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Bucks | 53c | 66.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Bucks | 53c | 65.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Suns | 47c | 55.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bucks | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Bucks | 55c | 53.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Suns | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Suns | 50c | 50.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Bucks | 52c | 49.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 57c | 48.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Bucks | 53c | 44.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Suns | 49c | 43.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Suns | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Suns | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bucks | 54c | 42.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 52c | 41.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 46c | 40.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…c150backed Suns | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Suns | 46c | 36.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bucks | 53c | 34.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Suns | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)this page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BucksSuns won
- Suns vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Suns vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.