TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$258,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,962 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns49c188,163$91,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,770.0987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks52c86,441$44,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,653.7244352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks51c53,452$27,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,308.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks51c29,515$15,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,094.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Suns46c18,532$8,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,011.0630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks54c16,714$9,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,025.82,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks52c9,269$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,81038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks51c8,395$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Bucks52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90012454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks49c6,382$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Suns49c6,181$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.1787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Bucks54c4,831$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.7637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks53c3,045$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns49c2,160$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.5965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Bucks52c2,142$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Bucks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Bucks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Bucks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns48c1,571$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Bucks51c1,557$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8117850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Suns46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.0826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Suns50c912.61$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Suns49c883.6$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4110844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks51c843.14$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns46c805.28$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.016,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Suns50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks54c648.2$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns53c599.69$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.532,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd598…c67cbacked Suns48c562.76$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.769037.8%34 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bucks54c555.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Suns48c531.3$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.6826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Bucks53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9922846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Suns46c426$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Suns46c425.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Bucks54c401$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4615656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Suns50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks53c380.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.653,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c5…56a4backed Suns46c372.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Suns50c353.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3924946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Suns54c329.3$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks52c304.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15829347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Bucks52c300.35$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns46c252.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.841,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks51c230.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns47c212.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9536449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Suns49c204.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bucks52c201.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.141,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Bucks51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Bucks52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.98757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Suns49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.476026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Bucks51c175.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Bucks58c171.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucks51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7849351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Suns51c143.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Suns45c130.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.052,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Bucks54c129.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Suns50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.56741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Suns46c108.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Suns46c108.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Bucks54c107.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Suns50c106.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5627350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Suns47c100.07$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0823348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Bucks54c94.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.38647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Bucks55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Suns50c89.78$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.278243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Suns50c89.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.085341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Suns50c81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8853945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks46c79.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Bucks52c78.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6430151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Bucks52c71.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3225655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bucks50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Suns49c68.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7435843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Bucks53c66.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Bucks53c65.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7815752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Suns47c55.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Bucks49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Bucks55c53.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1416150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Suns49c51.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.125044%22 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Suns50c50.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5914847.3%70 W · 78 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bucks51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Bucks52c49.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.928960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks57c48.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.381,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Bucks53c44.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.687445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Suns49c43.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1123144.2%102 W · 129 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Suns47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7962049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Suns47c42.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.649844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Suns46c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Bucks54c42.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks52c41.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns46c40.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…c150backed Suns50c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+111.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Bucks51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Bucks54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9827345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Bucks54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9832947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Suns46c36.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5637842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bucks53c34.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.129645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Suns47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9112739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.