NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6cad05f2fb33674a53b43f26aae33f1cf7fd963e528e9de509a786130e1c652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $958,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 49c | 443,538$218,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,236.02 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 51c | 197,616$100,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,737.74 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 49c | 170,772$83,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,787.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Suns | 50c | 73,118$36,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,558.84 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 51c | 71,118$36,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,269.88 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,699.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bucks | 50c | 54,104$27,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,052.06 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 50c | 42,270$20,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,979.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 53c | 38,057$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,056.65 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 51c | 30,151$15,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,376.93 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 50c | 20,450$10,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…27b0backed Bucks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 51c | 16,440$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,327.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 49c | 16,211$7,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Bucks | 50c | 14,450$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,225.09 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Bucks | 51c | 13,314$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bucks | 50c | 11,961$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 51c | 10,338$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.94 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 50c | 9,961$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Bucks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…b54dbacked Bucks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Bucks | 51c | 9,412$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bucks | 51c | 9,135$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Bucks | 52c | 8,241$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.85 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Bucks | 52c | 8,020$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.34 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Bucks | 48c | 6,473$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Bucks | 51c | 6,000$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Bucks | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Suns | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks | 51c | 5,792$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.73 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Suns | 50c | 5,702$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.93 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Bucks | 51c | 5,690$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks | 47c | 4,414$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,044$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.19 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0260…5f72backed Bucks | 50c | 4,032$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 53c | 4,008$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.25 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Bucks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Bucks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Suns | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.12 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 49c | 3,393$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Bucks | 50c | 3,270$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Bucks | 51c | 3,169$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.19 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 49c | 3,121$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.62 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Bucks | 51c | 2,947$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.96 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bucks | 49c | 2,902$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.33 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Bucks | 50c | 2,858$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Bucks | 50c | 2,667$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Bucks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Suns | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.21 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 47c | 2,441$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.12 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,438$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Suns | 50c | 2,252$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.58 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Suns | 50c | 2,107$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 49c | 2,013$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Bucks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Bucks | 51c | 1,982$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 48c | 1,881$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,778$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.74 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Bucks | 51c | 1,757$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.96 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bucks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Bucks | 50c | 1,310$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bucks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,118$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.43 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Bucks | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Bucks | 52c | 961.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 50c | 859.75$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.95 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Bucks | 50c | 838.79$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 50c | 831.58$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.48 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Bucks | 51c | 754.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…38e4backed Suns | 50c | 733.45$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 49c | 714.25$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Suns | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 51c | 681$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.21 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Suns | 50c | 666.18$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.18 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bucks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Bucks | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.68 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Bucks | 52c | 577.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Suns | 49c | 574.81$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bucks | 44c | 535.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns | 50c | 531.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 49c | 502.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.27 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 51c | 476.79$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Suns | 50c | 415$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…4ea9backed Suns | 50c | 401.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bucks | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Bucks | 50c | 399.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Suns | 50c | 398.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Suns | 48c | 384.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.27 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)this page
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BucksSuns won
- Suns vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Suns vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.