TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,226 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c21,519$11,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,329.7360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under48c11,997$5,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,758.5226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.983860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under55c4,151$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9926637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c2,634$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.091,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dd…8799backed Under51c2,231$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…dfe3backed Over49c2,120$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd4…a378backed Over49c2,028$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb082…38fcbacked Under51c1,971$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…57a8backed Under51c1,883$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a2…341cbacked Over49c1,815$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f53…a834backed Under51c1,808$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x981a…177abacked Over49c1,659$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9324…3caabacked Over49c1,375$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x151f…0d8cbacked Under51c1,172$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c1,124$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.621,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c923.55$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c829.91$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c829.43$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under50c775.71$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9723348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8126…f5f8backed Over49c668$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c644.48$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9141947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2e…bcf7backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c558.29$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c542.29$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over53c538.64$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8326034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c514.24$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.182,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c489$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.721,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c425.64$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.043,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over51c353.55$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2441742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c345.66$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.534,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over54c337$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0227455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under36c332.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over53c283.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0319054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over48c279.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c277.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Over51c215.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.854850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over75c211.64$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c208.64$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c201.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over53c195.61$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c186.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8814466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1922447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over69c181.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.271,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over70c179.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c171.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6457650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c150.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.265649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over53c119.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2914053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c118.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.471,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c104.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Over49c102.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.252425%6 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under49c100.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5463353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3250239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over53c99.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9922850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over53c76.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c75.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over54c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.625855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over58c56.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under49c55.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0452552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over53c52.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5112650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c51.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.292,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under51c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5414046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c47.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under46c44.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3910145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Over46c43.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4924150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…eababacked Under54c42.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Under38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c40.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over46c39.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.229844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over53c37.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7547852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under54c36.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over53c36.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1730654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over46c35.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3437842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over53c35.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7625153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c35.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c35.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over53c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Under54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1738048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4316150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over53c28.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.227350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over53c25.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8219659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9c1…2d5dbacked Over53c24.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Over53c23.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.018243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Over53c23.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.955341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under53c21.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Over53c20.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.727454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.