TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,900 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52035744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a0…2d9fbacked Over50c4,974$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4724backed Under50c4,951$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7102…3fb9backed Under50c4,836$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37cf…fb1bbacked Over50c4,806$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f4…1464backed Under50c4,636$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff38…beecbacked Under50c4,558$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3f…2087backed Under50c4,557$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…6901backed Over50c4,495$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e3…4f0cbacked Over50c4,416$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c90…1c78backed Over50c4,345$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d5…e0ffbacked Over50c4,243$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19b…6b40backed Under50c4,208$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…2e71backed Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…19d0backed Under50c4,030$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…7a60backed Over50c3,998$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over55c3,778$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb30…399dbacked Under50c3,439$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8600…442ebacked Over50c3,427$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafb…9a4ebacked Under50c3,338$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a42…6ba3backed Over50c3,338$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf856…3c06backed Under50c3,298$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc374…c772backed Over50c3,210$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed4…9b4dbacked Under50c3,125$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edc…55a7backed Under50c3,119$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a1…19c4backed Over50c2,642$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3730…2375backed Under48c1,922$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under51c1,907$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4725049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb847…c57cbacked Over52c1,422$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,406$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under51c1,303$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.0718651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed6a…d4f0backed Over52c1,142$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c860$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ee…dbf6backed Under48c642$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c550.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3411159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c404.01$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825a…9f6fbacked Under50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc868…9f66backed Over51c404$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266c…df0fbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd954…4185backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19618147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c1…6f06backed Under51c394$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.941030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41b…dd9dbacked Over51c394$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.11030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eaf…a69abacked Under50c384$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf535…975cbacked Over51c384$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e95…5b00backed Over51c372$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580f…c80cbacked Under50c372$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c339.21$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c326.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c299.39$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.745646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under50c247.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed Under49c229.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c213.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c205.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8c…aed4backed Under49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over53c191.44$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb6…efb6backed Under50c174$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Over54c163.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over50c156.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4523348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c153.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff9…2dadbacked Over48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under46c135.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0615752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over57c127.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under45c126.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c119.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c106.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.932,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c104.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over55c91.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0712151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under46c84.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3919950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c83.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c81.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.971,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c80.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.191,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…7280backed Over50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c72.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8623657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c72.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…5a2cbacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c69.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5917747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over55c68.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf1…66c0backed Over51c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c63.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.752,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over51c58.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…6bb5backed Under52c53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4f8…567abacked Under52c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2537549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0224042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…7afabacked Over51c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.014100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+100.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under50c48.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0820949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.