TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Bucks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,889,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,889,987 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 852 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks19c257,041$49,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,837.8248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks78c69,363$54,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,296.81,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Bucks19c65,000$12,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,349.9910930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bucks20c57,752$11,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,478.3920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bucks18c56,033$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hawks79c49,289$38,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,322.1638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks19c45,582$8,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,840.7232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Hawks80c43,577$34,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,715.325044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks20c43,457$8,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,693.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hawks80c41,250$32,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,361.2136359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks80c38,161$30,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Hawks80c35,995$28,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.929053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Hawks73c30,567$22,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,102.6629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Bucks27c27,669$7,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,470.563946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks20c26,940$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,38862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks22c20,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bucks16c18,121$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,842.393729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks1c17,603$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.011,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Bucks12c15,915$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.542245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Bucks20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks1c14,890$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.115213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks20c13,966$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bucks23c13,456$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Bucks19c13,000$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5106445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Bucks19c11,898$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.88728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks18c11,401$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.161,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Hawks80c11,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks77c11,000$8,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.3587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks21c10,532$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.744,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed Bucks24c10,347$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Bucks20c10,320$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0642254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Bucks19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bucks19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c51…087cbacked Bucks26c9,852$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.451540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…097cbacked Hawks74c9,727$7,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.063177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks26c9,534$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.0958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Bucks14c9,223$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.088225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks20c9,195$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.562,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Hawks78c8,893$6,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.436950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks0c8,128$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.264573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bucks20c8,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Bucks19c7,808$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Bucks13c6,800$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86211153.2%59 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bucks27c6,598$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.5816440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bucks23c6,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9447043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Bucks4c5,834$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.378030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bucks20c5,605$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.761,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hawks76c5,593$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.4124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Bucks24c5,500$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3209330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Bucks20c5,326$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.2214450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks20c5,172$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.239,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Bucks25c5,049$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.289250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…b771backed Bucks22c4,995$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks80c4,975$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.161,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bucks22c4,945$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08820843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks6c4,620$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.761,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c4,470$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Bucks14c4,460$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.1620638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks74c4,257$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.3637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks23c4,050$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…779fbacked Bucks25c3,724$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Hawks76c3,696$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.911159.5%66 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks15c3,329$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.7685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Bucks26c3,312$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.1237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks4c3,222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.873,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x189a…a137backed Hawks76c2,988$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks78c2,952$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.581,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks76c2,921$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.0834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks79c2,742$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f7…8442backed Hawks76c2,736$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.641850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b8…58f9backed Hawks76c2,736$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fe…a0b3backed Bucks25c2,728$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1d…3b8fbacked Bucks23c2,661$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Bucks1c2,628$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks12c2,583$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Bucks22c2,570$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2510235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks20c2,568$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.69629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked Hawks74c2,562$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6665244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c80…aad7backed Hawks77c2,549$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf22…062ebacked Hawks73c2,543$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks23c2,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e33…e52abacked Hawks77c2,448$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Bucks28c2,376$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1718043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bucks20c2,333$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Bucks1c2,308$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd3…9fd4backed Bucks27c2,099$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.731816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks8c2,096$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks76c2,072$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Bucks20c2,035$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.6113234.8%46 W · 86 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Bucks23c2,034$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.843925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bucks20c2,029$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7622637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Bucks20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906023.3%14 W · 46 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b37…d1abbacked Bucks25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Bucks23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcd…4ab3backed Bucks13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-71%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Hawks74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208555.3%47 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Hawks73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.