TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45b8…3be1backed Yes1c22,249$200 inLost-$199.98450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes1c1,600$16 inLost-$167640.8%31 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1b98backed Yes27c436.61$120 inLost-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No70c423.43$294 inWon+$129.031,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Yes31c207$64 inLost-$64.174639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed No69c200$138 inWon+$624055%22 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3750…0f3bbacked Yes31c193.02$60 inLost-$60650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No77c81$62 inWon+$18.6320638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes30c78$24 inLost-$23.5849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No68c71.38$49 inWon+$22.8490863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No69c67.23$46 inWon+$20.8497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c66…0a4fbacked Yes31c42$13 inLost-$13.022015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c38$29 inWon+$9.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No70c33.34$23 inWon+$1092058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No74c30$22 inWon+$7.888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked No72c20$14 inWon+$5.65139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.