TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,936 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9e9…ed84backed Yes61c820.89$500 inWon+$320.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4896…6939backed No69c722.87$500 inLost-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b8…3be1backed Yes28c677.73$188 inWon+$489.73450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No39c662.25$258 inLost-$258.285,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…f3b8backed Yes28c422.11$120 inWon+$302.114131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No71c372.41$264 inLost-$264.4190863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes42c333$140 inWon+$193.149348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No72c236.46$170 inLost-$170.251,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Yes54c229.63$124 inWon+$105.6347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Yes8c219.63$18 inWon+$201.4630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No72c166.66$120 inLost-$119.9997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb92…b02dbacked Yes28c125$35 inWon+$902040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No71c115.16$82 inLost-$81.8250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed No72c104.29$75 inLost-$75.094055%22 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No72c100$72 inLost-$7295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No41c38.46$16 inLost-$15.61,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No73c35.22$26 inLost-$25.7192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No71c26.81$19 inLost-$19.0446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Yes51c20.41$10 inWon+$101,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No74c17.16$13 inLost-$12.783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No80c17$14 inLost-$13.632866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.