TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,134 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks43c22,253$9,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,518.7930845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Hawks57c10,001$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.0736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks59c9,115$5,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks57c6,418$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks60c5,111$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.681,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks40c4,583$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks55c3,909$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.421,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf542…2870backed Bucks47c2,515$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…69a3backed Hawks53c2,505$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d5…46a8backed Bucks47c2,455$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1188…c64cbacked Bucks47c2,414$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb259…0367backed Hawks53c2,414$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80b…5392backed Hawks53c2,377$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0046…ae2abacked Hawks53c2,369$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…5a51backed Bucks47c2,344$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b6…8980backed Hawks53c2,341$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ae…b34fbacked Bucks47c2,323$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc566…7319backed Hawks53c2,299$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af4…c2babacked Hawks53c2,266$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cd…3be5backed Bucks47c2,266$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bc…2b71backed Hawks53c2,244$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a45…759bbacked Hawks53c2,238$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9f…6e13backed Bucks47c2,218$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks57c2,214$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c83…8e31backed Hawks53c2,158$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd25e…cb3dbacked Hawks53c2,155$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3e…8c8fbacked Hawks53c2,153$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d6…9d32backed Bucks47c2,131$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd48…95bcbacked Bucks47c2,121$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35c…2a5cbacked Bucks47c2,102$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…b2e7backed Hawks50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903b…9472backed Bucks50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2f…01c4backed Hawks53c2,056$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks42c2,049$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b3…dbe5backed Hawks53c2,047$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedc…9c27backed Hawks53c2,044$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…e924backed Hawks53c2,033$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8075…058abacked Bucks47c2,033$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…697cbacked Bucks47c2,033$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks56c2,030$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.21,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f1…1030backed Hawks53c2,014$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c5…1ee6backed Bucks47c2,014$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6096…2205backed Bucks47c2,012$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5d…9450backed Bucks47c1,966$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…3c52backed Bucks47c1,963$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0872…81a9backed Hawks50c1,960$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…4561backed Bucks47c1,959$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeccc…736bbacked Hawks53c1,899$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…df52backed Hawks53c1,853$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd62…002cbacked Hawks53c1,848$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d5…5831backed Hawks53c1,833$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks44c1,805$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks54c1,789$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.891,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…9d80backed Bucks47c1,788$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944f…51e5backed Bucks47c1,788$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec2…8126backed Bucks47c1,788$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264a…97cebacked Bucks47c1,744$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Hawks59c1,705$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.956756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eac…8f40backed Bucks47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…f2a7backed Bucks47c1,668$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ee…b5a1backed Bucks47c1,655$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c68…826ebacked Hawks53c1,633$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks58c1,190$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.32,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a8…a89abacked Hawks53c1,184$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f4…ebedbacked Hawks53c1,097$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Bucks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Bucks44c904.55$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4fc…3f7bbacked Bucks50c888$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401a…ad2dbacked Hawks50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bc…1572backed Hawks50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1106…6cf9backed Bucks50c683$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc98…4f73backed Hawks50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda2f…8599backed Bucks50c655$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bucks47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7768…59dcbacked Bucks50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ac79backed Bucks50c613$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1079…af05backed Bucks50c599$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Bucks42c480.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9720638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks58c434.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Bucks46c434.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks42c412.19$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.073,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks40c358.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Bucks49c280.88$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8319346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hawks57c278.5$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.321,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucks42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks45c248.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.43,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…abe8backed Hawks53c244$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…5931backed Bucks47c233$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdffa…c794backed Bucks47c224$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc11…18b3backed Hawks53c223$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac78…51bbbacked Bucks47c216$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc6…b4afbacked Bucks47c211$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94b4…f531backed Hawks53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f5…aacabacked Bucks47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks43c203.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb6…793bbacked Hawks53c202$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Hawks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Bucks45c189.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1824428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Hawks55c185.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4110348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks60c184.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.