NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73c716a9eb5276790aef4a6eba43ee780fa77fd66fc0f7023aae52676705cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,646 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 51c | 7,829$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 4,961$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.22 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…a691backed Under | 53c | 4,236$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…dd04backed Under | 53c | 4,055$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…f0ddbacked Under | 53c | 3,456$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…1c17backed Under | 53c | 3,266$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,761$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…ebd0backed Under | 52c | 2,466$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…91c6backed Over | 48c | 2,445$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…c48cbacked Over | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…968ebacked Under | 51c | 2,385$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…761fbacked Over | 47c | 2,366$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f0…4675backed Under | 52c | 2,366$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…46a4backed Over | 49c | 2,364$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…ee71backed Over | 47c | 2,318$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…614dbacked Over | 49c | 2,312$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8df5backed Over | 47c | 2,260$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bd…c94abacked Over | 47c | 2,236$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…664abacked Over | 47c | 2,233$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a2ebacked Under | 51c | 2,202$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…2d66backed Under | 53c | 2,150$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…3e03backed Over | 47c | 2,123$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…e6b7backed Under | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…5e8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,101$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…5b6dbacked Under | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1900…de39backed Over | 49c | 2,080$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…db18backed Over | 49c | 2,064$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…da0cbacked Over | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…02eebacked Under | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…9f60backed Over | 47c | 2,002$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed6…2fb4backed Over | 47c | 1,988$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795e…51b6backed Over | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…9312backed Under | 51c | 1,932$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…e80bbacked Under | 53c | 1,902$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 1,870$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…c84dbacked Under | 53c | 1,863$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…ba7cbacked Over | 47c | 1,855$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…47cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…e91fbacked Over | 48c | 1,789$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…2040backed Under | 53c | 1,788$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…ee24backed Under | 52c | 1,785$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…5ff1backed Over | 47c | 1,756$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73c…2687backed Under | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…940ebacked Over | 47c | 1,750$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…53f9backed Under | 53c | 1,725$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…68b0backed Under | 53c | 1,688$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…3ca7backed Over | 47c | 1,663$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…e1ebbacked Over | 47c | 1,536$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca5…adb4backed Over | 49c | 1,406$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…9551backed Over | 47c | 1,394$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,393$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…e403backed Under | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,265$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 53c | 1,075$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.71 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 55c | 706$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 642$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.78 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 574.23$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 564.63$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…1273backed Over | 47c | 456$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 54c | 346.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 51c | 297$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 271.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 255.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 235.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…4475backed Under | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…8b6dbacked Under | 52c | 213$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…b395backed Over | 48c | 211$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…187fbacked Over | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 192.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 188.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 159.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 154.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 57c | 112.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 47c | 105.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 84.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 47c | 58.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Over | 49c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 28.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…92e2backed Over | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…476bbacked Under | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 64c | 27.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 53c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
- Bucks vs. HawksHawks won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.