TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,646 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68df…4815backed Under53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,749.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over51c7,829$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c4,961$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea50…a691backed Under53c4,236$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b3…dd04backed Under53c4,055$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8053…f0ddbacked Under53c3,456$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de7…1c17backed Under53c3,266$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c2,761$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26af…ebd0backed Under52c2,466$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3597…91c6backed Over48c2,445$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…c48cbacked Over48c2,422$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92b…968ebacked Under51c2,385$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2610…761fbacked Over47c2,366$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f0…4675backed Under52c2,366$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…46a4backed Over49c2,364$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…ee71backed Over47c2,318$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc828…614dbacked Over49c2,312$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287c…8df5backed Over47c2,260$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53bd…c94abacked Over47c2,236$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…664abacked Over47c2,233$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a2ebacked Under51c2,202$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d1…2d66backed Under53c2,150$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecc6…3e03backed Over47c2,123$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e5…e6b7backed Under51c2,120$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fe…5e8dbacked Under51c2,101$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…5b6dbacked Under53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1900…de39backed Over49c2,080$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…db18backed Over49c2,064$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38eb…da0cbacked Over47c2,048$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x235f…02eebacked Under52c2,008$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f6…9f60backed Over47c2,002$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed6…2fb4backed Over47c1,988$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x795e…51b6backed Over48c1,988$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99dc…9312backed Under51c1,932$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e3…e80bbacked Under53c1,902$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c1,870$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.411,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ba…c84dbacked Under53c1,863$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9786…ba7cbacked Over47c1,855$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccf…47cdbacked Over49c1,816$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7ea…e91fbacked Over48c1,789$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…2040backed Under53c1,788$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f7…ee24backed Under52c1,785$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa58…5ff1backed Over47c1,756$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc73c…2687backed Under53c1,755$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb71b…940ebacked Over47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd4…53f9backed Under53c1,725$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed7…68b0backed Under53c1,688$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdff…3ca7backed Over47c1,663$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2709…e1ebbacked Over47c1,536$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca5…adb4backed Over49c1,406$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e52…9551backed Over47c1,394$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,393$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc098…e403backed Under51c1,302$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,265$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c1,075$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under55c706$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.4820638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c642$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.781,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c574.23$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c564.63$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d99…1273backed Over47c456$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under54c346.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over51c297$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4710448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c271.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c255.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c235.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7419…4475backed Under52c222$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7a…8b6dbacked Under52c213$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e6b…b395backed Over48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2334…187fbacked Over48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c192.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c188.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.442,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c159.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.221,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over44c154.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.931,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over57c112.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.964540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over47c105.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c84.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.251,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Under55c74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Over46c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.047443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c58.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under51c31.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Over49c31.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.653345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over49c28.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0152552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7608…92e2backed Over47c28.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.32755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7150…476bbacked Under53c28.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33540%14 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1616852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under64c27.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under53c24.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3513155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.