TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,977 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52e9…4f5ebacked Yes1c3,589$35 inLost-$34.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No71c490.61$348 inWon+$142.281,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3372…1b98backed Yes29c388.82$112 inLost-$1121030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…dd06backed Yes28c372.03$106 inLost-$106580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+103%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No69c354.84$245 inWon+$11090863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22c3…d509backed Yes31c354.84$110 inLost-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed No71c175.07$124 inWon+$50.774055%22 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No71c154.73$110 inWon+$44.7397049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes27c110.63$30 inLost-$307640.8%31 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No72c100$72 inWon+$28.4295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked No76c76.32$58 inWon+$18.326653%35 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost-$2020040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Yes29c59.3$17 inLost-$17.064337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd441…87febacked Yes29c45$13 inLost-$13.051233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No72c43.27$31 inWon+$12.1292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked No75c30.23$23 inWon+$7.535139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No69c25.55$18 inWon+$7.9246255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No77c21.85$17 inWon+$5.0248751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No74c14.52$11 inWon+$3.7883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.