TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hawksof Bucks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,568 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks29c7,300$2,150 inLost-$2,150.279629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks69c3,606$2,472 inWon+$1,134.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hawks70c2,235$1,569 inWon+$666.0226353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks71c1,684$1,191 inWon+$4934,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Bucks33c1,440$480 inLost-$479.7210844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks32c1,269$403 inLost-$402.591,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks71c993.14$705 inWon+$287.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks71c300$212 inWon+$883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…caeabacked Hawks70c268$188 inWon+$80.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks70c250$175 inWon+$752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…63d5backed Bucks30c247$74 inLost-$74.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c8…315abacked Bucks30c228$68 inLost-$68.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2708…1fa1backed Hawks70c211$148 inWon+$63.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…ca67backed Bucks30c188$56 inLost-$56.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…aa8abacked Hawks70c184$129 inWon+$55.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Hawks63c174.92$110 inWon+$64.9246346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Hawks71c140.85$100 inWon+$40.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Hawks71c137.23$97 inWon+$39.820638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Bucks38c105.26$40 inLost-$405230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks68c90.7$62 inWon+$29.0288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bucks26c84.32$22 inLost-$21.9260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucks31c74.74$23 inLost-$23.181,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bucks31c67.43$21 inLost-$20.7350651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc5…d556backed Hawks72c65$47 inWon+$18.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Bucks35c60$21 inLost-$20.827942.7%119 W · 160 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks28c56.02$16 inLost-$15.831,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Hawks74c47.5$35 inWon+$12.353357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Hawks73c47.3$35 inWon+$12.6730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Hawks77c44.7$35 inWon+$10.146553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hawks74c43$32 inWon+$11.1854549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Bucks28c36.48$10 inLost-$10.2314448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Hawks75c33.33$25 inWon+$8.332634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Hawks70c28.93$20 inWon+$8.7912949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Hawks71c25$18 inWon+$7.134637%17 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Hawks72c22.12$16 inWon+$6.091,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.