TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,656 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Over48c13,250$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3603366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x693c…39f2backed Over48c9,530$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e5…fa2abacked Over48c7,914$3,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,798.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc7…7ee0backed Under52c7,680$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa3f…204ebacked Under52c7,622$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2994…da85backed Over48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6a…6925backed Under52c6,769$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7db…7b38backed Over48c6,707$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…4639backed Over48c6,616$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ea…82f5backed Over48c6,611$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2b…f78abacked Over48c6,555$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945f…5786backed Over48c6,143$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92ac…effbbacked Over48c6,083$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x129c…fe5bbacked Under52c5,961$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d6…3bbebacked Over48c5,924$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a46…1d4fbacked Over48c5,901$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ba…84ccbacked Over48c5,754$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b19…6f0cbacked Over48c5,618$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87f…9eeabacked Over48c5,421$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb0…8991backed Over48c5,252$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aab…9dfebacked Over48c5,238$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…d3a8backed Under52c5,139$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…df31backed Under52c4,829$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd8…e5dbbacked Over48c4,827$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4374…8a7cbacked Over48c4,786$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ef…3b22backed Over48c4,775$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6b…8e1cbacked Over48c4,744$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.12875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2a…7103backed Over48c4,713$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…6ff5backed Under53c4,601$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c8…56aebacked Over48c4,443$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdffa…c794backed Under53c4,414$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ede…7a1ebacked Under52c4,392$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…ff00backed Under52c4,259$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a0…0d3fbacked Over48c4,217$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e5…9e64backed Under52c4,102$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…de26backed Over48c4,046$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb57…8da6backed Over48c4,011$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…4064backed Over48c3,984$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf727…d276backed Under52c3,960$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43de…4448backed Under52c3,709$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb29e…6a0cbacked Under53c3,589$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9660…4e16backed Over48c3,576$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdc…d4fbbacked Over48c3,399$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea68…6714backed Under53c3,212$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under55c3,000$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52df…6254backed Over48c2,970$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4260…daf0backed Over48c2,967$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…7eeabacked Under52c2,951$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af8…5017backed Over48c2,870$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4f…4c77backed Over48c2,796$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ce…3ba5backed Under52c2,769$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e63…5713backed Under52c2,744$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1664…8030backed Over48c2,698$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e7…5652backed Over48c2,687$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c2,653$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x541f…af2ebacked Over48c2,577$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e7…5416backed Over48c2,555$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…ff46backed Over48c2,538$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.241050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d5…46a8backed Over47c2,498$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb2…e679backed Over48c2,487$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6791…b867backed Over48c2,387$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4c…d55cbacked Under52c2,355$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f5d…caa1backed Over48c2,350$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…69a3backed Over47c2,315$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa309…1938backed Over48c2,300$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x957d…a7f6backed Over48c2,230$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.4944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29d…84a9backed Under52c2,225$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffa8…d5dcbacked Under54c2,205$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x684d…0f96backed Under53c2,202$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6248…cf9ebacked Under53c2,186$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9480…5569backed Over48c2,182$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Over43c2,180$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Under57c2,179$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1505…6245backed Over46c2,168$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…8406backed Over48c2,160$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c6…5dcbbacked Under52c2,155$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0522…d1c3backed Under52c2,155$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd090…52eebacked Over48c2,144$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…879ebacked Over48c2,143$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec8…d74cbacked Under53c2,122$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c5…1ee6backed Over47c2,098$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5c…5047backed Over46c2,088$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d6…9d32backed Over47c2,066$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x956a…a07abacked Over48c2,031$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c71…0dabbacked Over48c2,030$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f7…eed2backed Over47c2,022$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97c…0e1cbacked Over48c2,010$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ca7…de92backed Under52c2,002$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…bf75backed Over48c1,972$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,966$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4e…9fa8backed Over46c1,940$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3120…9b27backed Over46c1,933$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad3…2fbbbacked Under53c1,932$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2014…3073backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8455…22f5backed Under54c1,902$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a29…db8dbacked Under52c1,895$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…268ebacked Over47c1,866$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f8…07b4backed Over48c1,858$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb9…a133backed Under54c1,823$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65aa…73bebacked Over48c1,806$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.