NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a17d830fc03dda9461b5f0432d279e15e16857d3ad1642ac8af03107e157ac9

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $552,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks	54c	448,614$241,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206,737.22	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bucks	46c	236,168$108,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108,637.12	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks	46c	150,000$69,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks	49c	40,000$19,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,600	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks	50c	22,287$11,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,078.69	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Hawks	51c	20,567$10,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,077.6	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks	51c	19,981$10,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,757.45	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks	46c	16,840$7,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,746.61	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hawks	52c	16,756$8,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,042.8	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Bucks	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,050	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bucks	48c	14,273$6,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,890	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks	47c	12,262$5,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,763.22	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks	48c	8,214$3,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,942.72	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks	46c	8,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,680	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks	47c	5,320$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500.38	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bucks	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hawks	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Bucks	48c	3,797$1,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,822.56	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks	51c	3,224$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.24	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Bucks	48c	2,740$1,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bucks	54c	2,516$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.74	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	48c	2,478$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.57	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Bucks	48c	1,865$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	47c	1,468$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.15	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d1…c15ebacked Hawks	54c	1,420$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.28	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Bucks	53c	1,300$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Bucks	43c	1,152$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.36	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks	57c	925.64$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.05	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Bucks	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bucks	47c	649.75$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.38	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Hawks	58c	641.02$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.23	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Bucks	49c	606.07$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Bucks	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Hawks	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	48c	493.92$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.08	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Bucks	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…3953backed Hawks	58c	414.03$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.23	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bucks	48c	412.49$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Bucks	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Bucks	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hawks	57c	372$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.96	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks	44c	302.95$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.99	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks	46c	291.87$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.26	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks	47c	289.84$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.39	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks	20c	284.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.04	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Bucks	49c	274.63$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.49	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	50c	265.38$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.45	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Bucks	49c	236.16$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.36	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Hawks	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	46c	184.91$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Bucks	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Bucks	48c	158$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.84	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Bucks	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	380	50.8%193 W · 187 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Bucks	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Bucks	44c	102.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.78	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Hawks	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hawks	54c	93.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.02	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Bucks	50c	85.3$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.23	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1deb…472fbacked Hawks	58c	85.07$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Bucks	50c	82.64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.91	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Bucks	50c	81.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.37	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bucks	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bucks	47c	78.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Bucks	50c	75.94$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.61	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Bucks	48c	73.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.38	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca32…47f0backed Bucks	50c	65.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Bucks	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…5e06backed Bucks	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Hawks	53c	61.81$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.05	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a1…3d34backed Bucks	48c	60.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.27	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Hawks	53c	59.48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.96	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks	60c	59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Bucks	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Bucks	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Bucks	48c	50.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawks	50c	50.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.64	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Bucks	43c	45.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Bucks	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Bucks	48c	40.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Bucks	50c	40.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	50%88 W · 88 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Bucks	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Bucks	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Hawks	54c	38.68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.78	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bucks	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Bucks	49c	31.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	206	41.7%86 W · 120 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Bucks	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851d…a743backed Bucks	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8b…6119backed Bucks	48c	29.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…14c1backed Hawks	53c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawks	48c	27.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab9…65c2backed Bucks	44c	26.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Hawks	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Bucks	49c	22.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	149	51.7%77 W · 72 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Bucks vs. HawksHawks won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5Over won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Under won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5No won
Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event