NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080b7755d17027f7278aa2a6cee4ede56e31d46b8b41e5347f6744ca6c5b587c

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,963 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa45d…b413backed Over	46c	5,408$2,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,487.66	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e9…ad18backed Over	44c	2,366$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d3…de8abacked Under	56c	2,366$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.04	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb98…6d9abacked Under	56c	2,352$1,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	2,119$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	2,055$1,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.03	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…8f61backed Over	44c	2,053$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed7…68b0backed Under	56c	2,046$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac9…4999backed Over	44c	2,025$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…b94dbacked Over	44c	1,966$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1506…a592backed Over	44c	1,855$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa419…9908backed Under	56c	1,853$1,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over	45c	1,818$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.01	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd4…53f9backed Over	44c	1,659$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3166…1c1abacked Under	56c	1,652$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdff…3ca7backed Over	44c	1,631$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…d3a7backed Under	56c	1,325$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb71b…940ebacked Under	56c	1,244$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x949a…8762backed Under	56c	1,125$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+102.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over	39c	1,082$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.79	206	38.3%79 W · 127 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under	57c	1,017$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.15	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under	51c	952.18$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.26	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	54c	918.08$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.32	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	55c	842.23$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.46	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	732.69$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	58c	556.66$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.01	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	55c	494$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.24	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	31c	472.32$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.37	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x591c…e77fbacked Over	44c	408$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	62c	404.19$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.19	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-13.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	47c	360$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.2	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	56c	320.89$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.89	348	49.7%173 W · 175 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	24c	299.78$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.44	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	48c	253.67$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.76	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3352backed Under	75c	241.58$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.58	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	161.1$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.74	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	34c	155.77$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	39c	147$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.33	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	52c	139.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	74c	135.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.13	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	49c	133.49$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.33	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	55c	132$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	55c	130$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	57c	122.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	108	50%54 W · 54 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	117.59$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over	29c	104.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under	55c	100.45$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	207	62.3%129 W · 78 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under	59c	99$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.57	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under	51c	98.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.82	285	36.8%105 W · 180 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	63c	74.07$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.68	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	61c	62$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Under	52c	57.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	56c	57.66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.12	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over	34c	56.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over	49c	54.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	55c	54.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.71	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	71c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.93	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over	48c	32.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over	31c	32.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under	54c	31.44$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x42d1…5874backed Under	55c	30.7$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	58c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over	40c	29.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	45c	28.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	138	52.9%73 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Under	65c	19.1$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.77	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Bucks vs. HawksHawks won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5Over won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Under won
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 11.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 27.5No won
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5No won
Ousmane Dieng: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event