TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,383 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks55c28,625$15,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,813.8766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks46c23,800$11,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,042.8130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hawks56c17,393$9,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,652.765154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks45c12,871$5,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Bucks45c11,008$4,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.69440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Hawks55c10,921$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.899655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf179…72c7backed Hawks53c8,105$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks53c7,837$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Hawks54c5,088$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.5829352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks52c5,000$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Bucks44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf83f…d877backed Bucks50c4,899$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Bucks45c4,893$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…21cabacked Hawks50c4,730$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks53c4,531$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.551,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1770…3530backed Bucks51c4,212$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc9…07b5backed Bucks51c4,201$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks53c4,148$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bucks47c3,854$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.282,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc11…18b3backed Bucks51c3,811$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a2…866ebacked Bucks51c3,788$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac2…3e5fbacked Bucks51c3,526$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e8…d959backed Bucks51c3,515$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5587…cf21backed Hawks50c3,456$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks44c3,405$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c6…73a9backed Bucks51c3,402$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8105…209cbacked Bucks51c3,361$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb6…793bbacked Bucks51c3,294$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a3…adcfbacked Bucks50c3,287$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac78…51bbbacked Bucks51c3,201$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks47c3,067$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.225,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27bf…91c3backed Bucks51c3,011$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7094…9563backed Hawks50c2,854$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks44c2,848$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa920…858fbacked Bucks51c2,698$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Bucks45c2,613$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e5…d8aebacked Bucks50c2,588$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…b850backed Hawks49c2,515$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acb…522cbacked Bucks51c2,514$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4556…4a65backed Hawks49c2,505$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf542…2870backed Hawks49c2,466$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…c9a4backed Hawks50c2,455$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28f…968fbacked Bucks51c2,401$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe043…4d07backed Bucks50c2,369$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57dd…d863backed Hawks50c2,366$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Bucks46c2,350$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.5217850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dbc…a37cbacked Hawks49c2,344$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ea…7bb5backed Bucks51c2,302$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…5a51backed Hawks49c2,264$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b0…de9fbacked Bucks51c2,262$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9f…6e13backed Hawks49c2,241$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7240…3c0abacked Bucks50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75d…fe52backed Hawks49c2,232$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54c…57dabacked Bucks51c2,230$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cd…3be5backed Hawks49c2,223$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9442…6e0ebacked Bucks50c2,166$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b2…6078backed Bucks50c2,155$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe21b…3e41backed Hawks49c2,078$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2e…0fa9backed Hawks49c2,024$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Bucks49c2,022$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af4…c2babacked Hawks49c2,015$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Bucks45c2,009$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.25147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…697cbacked Hawks49c2,002$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…2205backed Hawks49c1,988$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e0…1ed4backed Bucks51c1,966$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3484…b2bbbacked Hawks50c1,956$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bc…2b71backed Hawks49c1,955$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4747…f282backed Hawks50c1,936$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…37eabacked Hawks49c1,918$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…4561backed Hawks49c1,913$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ff…a633backed Bucks50c1,899$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…3c52backed Hawks49c1,880$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f5…fc3bbacked Hawks50c1,855$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf06…bc7dbacked Bucks51c1,855$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a8…a89abacked Hawks49c1,850$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda57…81bdbacked Hawks49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks48c1,834$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…e924backed Hawks49c1,810$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e5d…9450backed Hawks49c1,808$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9a…f8e3backed Hawks50c1,789$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b3…dbe5backed Hawks49c1,788$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…e75abacked Bucks51c1,788$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c83…8e31backed Hawks49c1,747$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…7123backed Hawks49c1,747$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks45c1,746$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a3…96bbbacked Bucks51c1,720$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a5…9d80backed Hawks49c1,710$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…edd9backed Bucks50c1,678$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3be0…f62fbacked Bucks50c1,658$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedc…9c27backed Hawks49c1,623$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x264a…97cebacked Hawks49c1,523$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeccc…736bbacked Hawks49c1,515$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0067…615cbacked Hawks50c1,507$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944f…51e5backed Hawks49c1,479$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b8…2dd2backed Bucks51c1,310$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c68…826ebacked Hawks49c1,238$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b9…9711backed Hawks49c1,222$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks50c1,171$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…759bbacked Hawks49c1,044$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b6…8980backed Hawks49c1,009$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.