NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2752a28da3d9880831002e98e585673a0641c6350a09e3d83b26f1f0c2859f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,138 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets | 46c | 18,612$8,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050.47 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 47c | 5,397$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 3,464$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 53c | 2,568$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 47c | 2,093$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 53c | 1,774$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.24 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 50c | 1,376$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Raptors | 56c | 1,080$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…2ed2backed Raptors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets | 44c | 803.08$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…578ebacked Raptors | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.89 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 45c | 531.73$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 48c | 501.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.5 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…99b1backed Raptors | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Rockets | 47c | 476.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockets | 47c | 426$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Raptors | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Raptors | 56c | 359.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 47c | 318.03$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…28d1backed Raptors | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets | 47c | 292$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 45c | 260.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raptors | 53c | 229.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Raptors | 54c | 202.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Raptors | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rockets | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 46c | 197$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 54c | 187.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c7…fcb9backed Rockets | 48c | 186$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 47c | 182.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Raptors | 52c | 180.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rockets | 47c | 179.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…dd23backed Raptors | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…ccc7backed Rockets | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Raptors | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 53c | 113.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Rockets | 49c | 111.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…9e77backed Raptors | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 53c | 104.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Raptors | 55c | 102$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors | 60c | 98.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Raptors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Rockets | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Raptors | 54c | 87.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Raptors | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…dc15backed Raptors | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…4df8backed Raptors | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 56c | 79.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets | 47c | 79.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets | 46c | 76.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…ae5dbacked Raptors | 52c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Rockets | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Rockets | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…099bbacked Raptors | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Raptors | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Raptors | 53c | 63.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 43c | 62.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fa…d338backed Rockets | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Raptors | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Rockets | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…fdaabacked Raptors | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…39a9backed Raptors | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…abd3backed Raptors | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Rockets | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Rockets | 48c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Rockets | 46c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…079bbacked Raptors | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Rockets | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Rockets | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Rockets | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…0c31backed Raptors | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…6ab9backed Raptors | 57c | 39.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Rockets | 46c | 38.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Rockets | 47c | 36.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Raptors | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 62c | 34.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Rockets | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…ce76backed Raptors | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Raptors | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Raptors | 53c | 24.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Raptors | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Raptors | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Rockets | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Raptors | 53c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors | 54c | 20.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…3dbbbacked Raptors | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…2cfebacked Raptors | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…6191backed Raptors | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Raptors vs. RocketsRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.