TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,138 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets46c18,612$8,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,050.4730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors54c11,111$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets47c5,397$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors54c3,464$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors53c2,568$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets47c2,093$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors53c1,774$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.241,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets50c1,376$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Raptors56c1,080$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…2ed2backed Raptors53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303669.4%25 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets44c803.08$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.722,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce81…578ebacked Raptors53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.892766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets45c531.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4512045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets48c501.72$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.52,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…99b1backed Raptors55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Rockets47c476.01$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.123348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockets47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8852240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Raptors52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20866645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Raptors56c359.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets47c318.03$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb090…28d1backed Raptors53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596567.7%44 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets47c292$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7645151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets45c260.15$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raptors53c229.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Raptors54c202.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Raptors52c201.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Rockets48c199.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets46c197$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors54c187.72$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.963,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c7…fcb9backed Rockets48c186$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets47c182.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.681,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Raptors52c180.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8913864.5%89 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Rockets47c179.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.525340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61a…dd23backed Raptors53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.686564.6%42 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…ccc7backed Rockets48c159$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Raptors54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors53c113.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Rockets49c111.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8139943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x388f…9e77backed Raptors53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.32979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors53c104.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.231,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Raptors55c102$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Raptors50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Raptors60c98.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Raptors53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Rockets49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9921849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Raptors54c87.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Raptors52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.218543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d0…dc15backed Raptors52c81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x289e…4df8backed Raptors53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45955.9%33 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets56c79.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Rockets47c79.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.811,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets46c76.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors34c73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.041,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93f…ae5dbacked Raptors52c71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Rockets49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.926026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Rockets46c67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…099bbacked Raptors52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Raptors55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2338252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Raptors53c63.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.316150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors43c62.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.892,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fa…d338backed Rockets47c53.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.35044%22 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors53c53.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Raptors50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Rockets46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c06…fdaabacked Raptors52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fc…39a9backed Raptors55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.455463%34 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Raptors42c47.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Rockets48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.436045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Rockets48c44.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3520144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Rockets46c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e4…079bbacked Raptors52c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Rockets47c42.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6112739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fae…c000backed Rockets59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Rockets47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0391…0c31backed Raptors53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22684.6%22 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+31.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05f0…6ab9backed Raptors57c39.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Rockets46c38.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d3…98e5backed Raptors52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Rockets47c36.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Raptors55c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rockets62c34.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Rockets59c34.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0911553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b7…ce76backed Raptors52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockets47c30.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Raptors53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.938048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Raptors53c24.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0914046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Raptors53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Raptors52c22.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7729645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Rockets47c22.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Raptors53c21.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Raptors54c20.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe489…3dbbbacked Raptors54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x408d…2cfebacked Raptors53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26db…6191backed Raptors53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Raptors54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.