TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,459 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Under47c18,802$8,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,965.0830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c10,355$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c8,216$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,212.581,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over53c6,118$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.851,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,225$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,200$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Under47c2,865$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.455040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c2,575$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9916633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c2,002$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under52c1,952$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.9734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c1,405$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c1,402$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.692,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c1,232$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.962,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c723.3$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c695.57$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over54c649$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over32c634.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Under47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.822846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under47c468$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1247354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c451.11$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over55c322.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c286.49$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.53,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over47c236.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.031,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over48c212.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7154549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c206.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.685,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over47c200.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3720350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed Over46c200.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3143447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c188.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.712,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd242…882fbacked Over46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c184.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f7…42d6backed Over49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f9…e4d1backed Over49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb01…0e38backed Over50c175.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under48c165.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3912739.4%50 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4751…080fbacked Under51c164$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.44650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7548…604cbacked Over48c162.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6e…5d2cbacked Over47c159.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under44c157.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75f…c8eebacked Over47c156$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c144.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa6…9a82backed Over47c143.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over47c115.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6323348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over50c114.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under47c99.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7114046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c98.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.581,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c95.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under55c95.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c92.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.651,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under51c88.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7915752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…abd3backed Over57c86.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under53c85.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under37c84.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0712227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over52c82.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6355444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec9f…2338backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503e…adb4backed Under54c76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under36c72.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51af…ecfebacked Under52c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.432,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c70.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Over57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.035747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c53…5688backed Under52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb0…cca5backed Under54c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over54c65.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under49c63.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.299051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d9…44a2backed Under51c63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under49c61.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.847857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Over53c61.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6417153.2%91 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under54c58.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9716150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under37c54.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.423,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under47c52.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9735843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e1…0317backed Under55c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2416141.6%67 W · 94 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b00…a676backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1722…a5f1backed Over51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa034…c1cabacked Under53c48.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…d2ecbacked Under53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Under49c45.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.837052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac7…fdcebacked Under52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd59e…88c1backed Over51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.