TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Raptors, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8816…7738backed Raptors50c404$202 inLost-$2028657%49 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rockets54c220.03$118 inWon+$102.0426353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raptors34c163.32$55 inLost-$55.431,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Rockets62c162.52$100 inWon+$62.4126545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Rockets64c77.5$50 inWon+$27.936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors36c77.5$28 inLost-$27.92,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Rockets65c76.17$50 inWon+$26.665635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Raptors39c65$25 inLost-$25.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Rockets69c50.72$35 inWon+$15.7211553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors37c37.32$14 inLost-$13.721,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…5dd5backed Rockets64c31.47$20 inWon+$11.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Raptors55c27.18$15 inLost-$1515248%73 W · 79 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Rockets72c19.49$14 inWon+$5.4430845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.