NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x797b9fffcf15c79db159ef8588d77fa4a4a5a1157b47b8c0bb6409ee9e40bfe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,460$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 805.86$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 705$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb55…7b4dbacked Over | 62c | 575.78$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 40c | 548.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 16c | 546.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 535.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 393.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 40c | 359.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 55c | 296.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 260.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 79c | 255.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 42c | 232.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 41c | 227.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 223.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 203.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Over | 54c | 180.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 172.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Over | 78c | 168.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 22c | 168.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 63c | 133.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 53c | 131.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 121.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 43c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…24a2backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 41c | 87.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 75.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 57c | 72.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Under | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 66.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 62c | 64.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 73c | 63.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 31c | 55.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Under | 20c | 53.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 52c | 49.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 40.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 41c | 40.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…56d0backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 45c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 40c | 34.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 33.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 35c | 31.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 42c | 28.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…e660backed Over | 79c | 25.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…b011backed Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 62c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 18.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Raptors vs. RocketsRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.