NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139a7a610e7cc3d08881b1c4898a872b36f3073f54bb6d80f0903f777b35ce04

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
Resolved: Mar 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $83,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,813 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Rockets	50c	20,097$10,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,048.36	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets	50c	12,284$6,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,084.71	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors	50c	7,190$3,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,587.11	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	50c	6,886$3,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,440.18	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors	49c	6,829$3,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,346	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	50c	6,569$3,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,291.32	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	49c	5,008$2,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,474.58	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Raptors	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors	49c	4,345$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.82	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Rockets	51c	2,549$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.14	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets	50c	2,009$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.26	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors	50c	2,000$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.99	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Rockets	50c	1,946$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.19	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors	49c	1,882$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors	49c	1,596$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.87	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Rockets	51c	1,534$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.43	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Rockets	54c	1,111$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.13	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.3	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors	50c	1,000$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.39	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	46c	945.5$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.01	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets	50c	765.12$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.79	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rockets	51c	725$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.46	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Raptors	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.9	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Rockets	50c	687.15$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.61	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors	49c	518.57$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.38	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Rockets	53c	439.62$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.62	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Raptors	49c	436.77$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.7	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets	50c	436.33$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.95	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e15…1afbbacked Raptors	51c	424$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.1	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x465a…88e5backed Rockets	51c	419.2$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.24	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1c…3143backed Raptors	50c	402$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.81	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e2…a6b1backed Rockets	51c	402$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.19	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Rockets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Rockets	51c	392.93$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.93	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Rockets	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…f5a6backed Rockets	50c	384$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.23	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	52cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99e8…92cebacked Raptors	51c	384$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.72	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Raptors	48c	333.5$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Raptors	51c	311.76$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.24	108	44.4%48 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Raptors	49c	298.28$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.22	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	51c	294.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.7	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors	51c	271.28$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.65	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets	50c	269.35$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.7	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Rockets	51c	222$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors	48c	218.01$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.41	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Raptors	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Raptors	50c	200.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c6…dd21backed Raptors	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.81	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-44%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Rockets	51c	196.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.36	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Rockets	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rockets	50c	195.67$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.84	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Raptors	49c	194.34$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.55	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rockets	53c	189.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.04	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Rockets	52c	187.66$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.26	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Rockets	54c	186.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.82	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Rockets	51c	182.84$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.59	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ad8…01e9backed Raptors	48c	175.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Raptors	49c	159.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.39	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	49c	159.4$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.9	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe527…bae2backed Raptors	48c	155$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Raptors	50c	147.05$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Rockets	51c	137.52$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.52	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors	48c	136.06$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.84	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Raptors	48c	125.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors	46c	123.7$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.82	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockets	53c	99.82$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.91	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e9…5081backed Raptors	50c	98.17$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c1…4a10backed Rockets	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3c…78b2backed Rockets	51c	98.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.11	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-29%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Rockets	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rockets	51c	90.37$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.37	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Rockets	50c	89.14$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.14	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Raptors	37c	87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.19	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a6…15c0backed Rockets	52c	81$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.92	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Rockets	50c	80.16$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	198	49%97 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Rockets	51c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba8…ba31backed Rockets	50c	75.99$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Raptors	51c	74.71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Raptors	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…04f1backed Rockets	50c	65$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…81c3backed Rockets	50c	59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b67…92c9backed Rockets	52c	57.89$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c9…287bbacked Rockets	53c	56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked Rockets	66c	50.1$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.84	55	60%33 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Rockets	51c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…c566backed Rockets	53c	49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Rockets	53c	47.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Rockets	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Rockets	50c	46.09$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.09	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbda…f88abacked Rockets	52c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Raptors	50c	44.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Raptors	51c	42.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Rockets	50c	40.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Raptors vs. RocketsRockets won
Raptors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Under won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event