NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc4e980863a6f7423108603e2f17c0cea4fd918efaea607c9ac655b6d1d6ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 4,674$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 2,370$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.23 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 2,286$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 596.68$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 50c | 589.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 553$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.09 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 477.03$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 337.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 311.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 62c | 295$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 53c | 227.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…af56backed Under | 48c | 157$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…1005backed Under | 47c | 139$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 124.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 45c | 114.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 104.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 57c | 83.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 73.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 63c | 65.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…1b00backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Over | 55c | 63.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 54c | 62.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 55c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 60.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…3ba5backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Over | 67c | 50.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Over | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 43.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 55c | 41.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd77…b2f9backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 40.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 36.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 35.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…9bb8backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 48c | 33.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 26.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…b318backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…d937backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…d36cbacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 59c | 20.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4995…62bfbacked Over | 53c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Raptors vs. RocketsRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.