TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Raptors, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,113,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,113,380 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Rockets64c188,417$120,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,833.718944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors36c120,000$43,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,399.7348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors36c52,343$19,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,065.291,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Rockets64c42,501$27,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,348.0219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Raptors31c32,077$9,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,817.6211737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors36c29,750$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.8387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Rockets63c27,991$17,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,284.4743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Raptors0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors37c16,000$5,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.381,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets69c15,352$10,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors27c14,328$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.7120744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Raptors36c9,334$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.1841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets70c9,295$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.933,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…1dc6backed Rockets65c9,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors2c8,895$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.061,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets63c8,784$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.434,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Rockets69c8,024$5,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.6527865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rockets69c8,020$5,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.2526353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors25c7,904$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.651,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Raptors36c7,779$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets63c7,139$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Raptors23c7,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors0c6,700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets64c6,275$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Raptors37c6,156$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2969250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors26c6,113$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.671,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors35c5,845$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.3732540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Raptors36c5,667$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets64c5,565$3,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Raptors37c5,500$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0356943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Rockets63c5,500$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.982646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors37c5,228$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Raptors5c5,091$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.051,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors0c5,058$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.347211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors36c5,026$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.34,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Raptors37c5,009$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.8229250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6676…cddcbacked Rockets80c4,851$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Raptors36c4,640$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.442835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Rockets72c4,182$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.5752760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Rockets65c4,136$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.695959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Rockets63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4805658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Raptors24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors36c3,993$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.82,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Rockets65c3,948$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.257850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Rockets64c3,906$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.412360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets70c3,635$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Raptors30c3,563$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.848440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Raptors10c3,524$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.092737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Rockets63c3,500$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.3443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Rockets60c3,329$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.63455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets64c3,222$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors2c3,213$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Rockets65c3,179$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.6214061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Rockets64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockets64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Raptors9c2,834$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24528616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01c…1d93backed Rockets63c2,724$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Raptors37c2,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets64c2,698$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.3448054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Raptors35c2,572$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Raptors40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Raptors36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors36c2,490$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdba7…cc9fbacked Raptors35c2,430$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Rockets63c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8a…2ab2backed Raptors35c2,200$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors32c2,191$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…edc1backed Rockets64c2,180$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rockets63c2,010$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1155346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets65c2,000$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.7343051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…2a92backed Raptors35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.97520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Raptors28c1,928$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Raptors35c1,840$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9816440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Raptors35c1,810$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.5936718.5%68 W · 299 L-36.8wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd0d…769dbacked Raptors38c1,809$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets63c1,807$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Raptors37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.978057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Raptors36c1,780$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.2813435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Rockets64c1,718$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.0286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Rockets63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Rockets64c1,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b55…cde3backed Rockets64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.038151.9%42 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Raptors36c1,555$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3336950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Rockets62c1,500$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.9961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Raptors41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets63c1,444$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors2c1,435$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Rockets64c1,425$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0210251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Raptors35c1,412$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rockets64c1,395$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d0…479bbacked Raptors35c1,390$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Rockets75c1,379$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7382…06edbacked Raptors35c1,370$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Rockets74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3516261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Raptors37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9133735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa3…a2c4backed Raptors38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Raptors38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066a…a467backed Rockets65c1,316$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Rockets64c1,303$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5120947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Raptors36c1,270$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4573743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.