TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,806 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c14,037$7,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,878.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c13,324$6,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.5460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under47c4,197$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.4321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c4,008$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.821,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over50c3,893$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c3,855$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c3,577$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c3,351$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.114,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c3,320$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c3,031$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.4280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c2,281$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over51c1,697$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.1970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c1,580$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under47c1,573$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.1517144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under43c1,435$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.5826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,400$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over48c1,137$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c976.54$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under45c956.5$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.1454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c935.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c895.83$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.8381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over50c858.38$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1917550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c841.29$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.881,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c766.94$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c739.42$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.392,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over59c687.8$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c562.93$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over54c556.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under47c468$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under45c416.67$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c399.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…2cd8backed Over53c396.38$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over53c283$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9919054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c238.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.951,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over53c217.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4414053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc4…d5b6backed Under50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3dd…d5fcbacked Under50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c142$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2627455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c132.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5814466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over53c131.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c130.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over53c122.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under47c121.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2811943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over53c121.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over53c118.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.925153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Over53c115.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.397454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over53c115.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5722953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c110.22$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c108.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5522850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over57c87.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c84.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over53c76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c74.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under47c73.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.849051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6fc…2065backed Over51c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Over53c67.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.686258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7fd…063bbacked Over51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under47c61.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2423348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Over53c60.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328243.9%36 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under50c59.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over53c58.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1327350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Over53c58.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Under50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under50c50.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.14240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under48c46.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9690…f82fbacked Over52c46.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over53c46.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5325855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c1…2d5dbacked Over53c45.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb69a…3b90backed Over53c45.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Over53c45.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.096653%35 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8417643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over57c40.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7216150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e0…375abacked Over51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x468b…1703backed Over53c37.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011258.9%66 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over57c35.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13c…3e22backed Over52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over57c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8832947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c30.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over51c30.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over53c29.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8530654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c29.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under45c27.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c27.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.491,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under48c26.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6728147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c26.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c26.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.693,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.