TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b67…92c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$66.9
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$38.59
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+93%+$27.89
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.51
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.56
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$90.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$45.19
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$33.38
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.98
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$44.43
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$74.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.