TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Raptors, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$969,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,824 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans51c148,470$75,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,752.8343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors49c55,000$26,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,899.521,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors49c53,116$26,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,017.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans51c52,975$27,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,962.671,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans51c40,787$20,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,985.921,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Raptors49c40,600$19,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,89459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Raptors48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,20039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans52c37,513$19,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,006.272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Raptors49c36,469$17,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,869.6823147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Raptors49c24,730$12,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,117.724053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors49c24,496$12,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,082.061,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans53c20,899$11,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,839.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b9…985abacked Raptors49c19,214$9,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,414.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe22…7a59backed Raptors49c18,792$9,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,208.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18f…e335backed Pelicans51c18,316$9,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,974.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18ec…e045backed Raptors49c17,337$8,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,495.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd1…1e78backed Pelicans51c17,184$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,420.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cb0…35a6backed Pelicans51c17,067$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,362.83785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e89…0541backed Raptors49c17,034$8,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,346.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c3…ab1fbacked Raptors49c16,727$8,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,196.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef8…f0c0backed Raptors49c16,149$7,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,913.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfad3…d5aabacked Raptors49c14,791$7,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,247.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42a…2e15backed Raptors49c14,785$7,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,244.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d62…9912backed Pelicans51c14,778$7,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.22875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27b…e48abacked Pelicans51c14,442$7,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,076.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors49c13,966$6,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,843.552,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2680…73cdbacked Raptors49c13,864$6,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,793.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x998d…cfdbbacked Raptors49c13,286$6,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4a…bbc9backed Raptors49c12,414$6,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,082.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d3…be51backed Raptors49c11,720$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,742.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd935…629ebacked Pelicans51c11,580$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,674.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…06a8backed Pelicans51c11,433$5,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,602.171060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ff…c7e5backed Pelicans51c11,141$5,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b48…11ecbacked Pelicans51c10,859$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c6…a9bebacked Pelicans51c10,739$5,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,262.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2deb…313ebacked Raptors49c10,600$5,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2120…f3c8backed Raptors49c10,447$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x638d…96f2backed Raptors49c10,351$5,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,071.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…f58bbacked Pelicans51c10,290$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,042.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b13…bb38backed Pelicans51c10,241$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,018.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Raptors49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Raptors49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a26…4c0dbacked Raptors49c10,076$4,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d83…e56abacked Pelicans50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…d898backed Pelicans51c9,928$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,864.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x061d…ce68backed Raptors49c9,655$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8f…f1b3backed Pelicans51c9,559$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0647…9151backed Pelicans51c9,353$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed32…babebacked Raptors49c9,079$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9223…c94dbacked Pelicans51c8,753$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e9…0e01backed Pelicans51c8,668$4,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,247.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ffd…3993backed Pelicans51c8,637$4,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x220c…cc0cbacked Pelicans51c8,461$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c2b…9e65backed Pelicans51c8,410$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…3e08backed Pelicans51c7,898$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.021080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans51c7,062$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.9538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffeb…c48abacked Pelicans51c7,030$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.71070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x579f…4ef1backed Raptors49c6,823$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.27650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…94f1backed Raptors49c6,820$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709a…2bd8backed Raptors49c6,635$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd844…415cbacked Raptors49c6,520$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…9b8dbacked Pelicans51c6,506$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…c851backed Raptors49c6,355$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…519bbacked Pelicans51c6,047$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed9e…89f4backed Pelicans51c6,009$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.41977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…7fc9backed Raptors49c5,980$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc2…e4c3backed Pelicans51c5,890$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cce…af6dbacked Raptors49c5,845$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e16…d3a6backed Pelicans51c5,843$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521c…3136backed Pelicans51c5,816$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5146…d204backed Pelicans51c5,774$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…af8dbacked Raptors49c5,667$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…3d4dbacked Pelicans51c5,653$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d07…e5a3backed Raptors49c5,443$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd953…d186backed Pelicans51c5,355$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b6…301ebacked Pelicans51c5,323$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a0…2a37backed Pelicans51c5,171$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.79650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…6338backed Raptors49c5,051$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Raptors49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4509733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2f…f3aebacked Raptors49c4,933$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Pelicans51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.2215450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc94…544cbacked Pelicans51c4,898$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…d080backed Pelicans51c4,857$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e79…04c7backed Pelicans51c4,836$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe116…735dbacked Pelicans51c4,780$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8537…76ffbacked Raptors49c4,760$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.4650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af4…c4f3backed Pelicans51c4,645$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans51c4,602$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.4234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb094…15b3backed Raptors48c4,578$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans51c4,500$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed0…d0a4backed Raptors49c4,420$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4443…1defbacked Raptors49c4,412$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4b…4160backed Pelicans51c4,408$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043a…bb7cbacked Pelicans51c4,372$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781a…563bbacked Pelicans53c4,300$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6019…8c0fbacked Pelicans52c3,938$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x501d…ac5dbacked Raptors49c3,759$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7825…6a28backed Pelicans53c3,656$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Pelicans53c3,556$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.