TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,237 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Under21c9,490$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.9596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Under1c8,364$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.645664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c6,729$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.3374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1070…03b6backed Under48c6,200$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Over52c5,700$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7361070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under16c5,530$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.051,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae6…7ab8backed Over52c4,252$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f6…491abacked Over52c4,160$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14e…74f1backed Under48c4,156$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under4c4,098$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under61c3,945$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under13c3,818$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…2f96backed Over52c3,685$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x615f…7477backed Under48c3,566$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…9499backed Under48c3,457$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b4e…340abacked Over52c3,456$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x979c…7de0backed Under48c3,431$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e1…37efbacked Under48c3,348$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe39a…1167backed Over52c3,330$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6b…9802backed Over52c3,286$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd4…7f56backed Over52c3,206$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228a…cc9fbacked Under48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9c58backed Over52c3,169$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,108$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d0…fa51backed Under48c3,086$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Under48c2,864$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8c…7a0cbacked Under48c2,856$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8267…0eb2backed Under48c2,830$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81cd…bed9backed Under48c2,716$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b35…c586backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5f…a275backed Over52c2,497$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8661…f360backed Under48c2,494$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7493…96e0backed Over52c2,488$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…63d5backed Over52c2,377$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a43…edb4backed Under48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f3…019cbacked Under48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3e…f067backed Over52c2,364$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0b22backed Under48c2,358$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f8e4backed Under48c2,265$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Under3c2,265$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.042924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82f7…3b0fbacked Over52c2,247$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb021…e324backed Over52c2,232$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfa7…aadfbacked Under48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…82f7backed Under48c2,201$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4aa…b377backed Over52c2,187$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under46c2,184$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x437f…a23ebacked Over52c2,165$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58a…dbc1backed Under48c2,128$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c2,128$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5a…7af9backed Under48c2,087$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under45c2,070$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.1123348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb671…4777backed Under48c2,046$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c35…f1a0backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x717c…2777backed Under48c1,966$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd63d…d40abacked Under48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…9e28backed Under48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a2…afb7backed Under48c1,899$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed3…a182backed Under48c1,899$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2f…1292backed Under48c1,888$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under21c1,881$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009137.4%34 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac1…9c9fbacked Under48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c3…eb40backed Over52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0030…514fbacked Under48c1,827$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c1,790$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…33c2backed Over52c1,759$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfac4…b111backed Over52c1,732$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b96…573abacked Under48c1,666$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514e…418fbacked Over52c1,639$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba4…1d42backed Under48c1,638$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677f…92ddbacked Over52c1,599$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d1f…049dbacked Under48c1,596$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f8…8163backed Under48c1,551$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9872…af7ebacked Under48c1,533$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc7…2469backed Over52c1,525$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7322100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x144f…59d9backed Under48c1,488$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…e2abbacked Over52c1,342$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Over75c1,221$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.934067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc6…16d0backed Over52c1,178$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd3…bccbbacked Over52c1,170$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4319…fa97backed Over52c1,121$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Over72c1,112$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ef…cb02backed Over52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under9c1,100$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982623.1%6 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick6cpaid+428%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x573e…5302backed Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf34…197dbacked Over52c1,099$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5039…d9c4backed Over52c1,088$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf80d…1a41backed Over52c1,077$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401e…b2e3backed Over52c1,068$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b3…dd9ebacked Over52c1,066$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…339cbacked Over52c1,065$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6577…da8ebacked Over52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c1…0b0cbacked Over52c1,049$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Under24c1,040$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8913357.1%76 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde5…5f31backed Over52c1,026$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2049…bfb8backed Over52c1,024$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…5f60backed Over52c1,023$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…929abacked Over52c1,023$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under44c1,013$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44515543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a6a…fe45backed Over52c1,010$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.