NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92afdae57eff10b8dfe0eede95707b689eee9187438d29b97525432065005328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,363 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…f715backed Over | 54c | 6,061$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…ebb3backed Under | 47c | 5,056$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…f28fbacked Over | 53c | 3,878$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c6…31f0backed Over | 53c | 3,852$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…7d37backed Under | 47c | 3,666$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…68eebacked Over | 53c | 3,606$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x028e…9d47backed Over | 53c | 3,588$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…308cbacked Over | 53c | 3,476$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…a480backed Over | 53c | 3,416$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…a78dbacked Under | 47c | 3,360$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…03eabacked Under | 47c | 3,336$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…5442backed Over | 53c | 3,192$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…87eebacked Over | 53c | 3,172$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…f058backed Under | 47c | 3,150$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…c748backed Under | 47c | 2,976$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…1f24backed Under | 47c | 2,850$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…2db6backed Under | 47c | 2,602$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 1,399$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.96 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,367$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.01 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 46c | 1,363$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.9 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,206$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…9a4dbacked Under | 47c | 1,184$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,096$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Under | 47c | 585.07$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 527.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 341.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.15 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 292.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 247.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 210.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…c0a6backed Under | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…3656backed Under | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…90a0backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 55c | 107.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 48c | 90.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 88.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Under | 47c | 87.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 77.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 75.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 72.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 64.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…9a82backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…0448backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…cc81backed Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…3072backed Over | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…cda6backed Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 42.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Under | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 44c | 37.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…1fbabacked Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9338…fb32backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…f729backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 34.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 66c | 34.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 30.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…074abacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…fb32backed Over | 53c | 18.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 55c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-0.5)Pelicans won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Raptors vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.