NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f38f38295c2f2435561164192b2cfc4ba9ce0a32afcb780dcbddea9b530a26

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Raptors, Pelicans
Resolved: Mar 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $214,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,879 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xea2b…1fc6backed Raptors	52c	30,000$15,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,499.62	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Raptors	51c	18,823$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,599.59	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c3…459fbacked Pelicans	48c	10,416$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,416.13	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+46%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pelicans	46c	9,485$4,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.9	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans	49c	8,961$4,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,603.97	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pelicans	49c	8,077$3,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,123	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pelicans	48c	7,680$3,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,967.43	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pelicans	49c	6,257$3,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,191.14	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fc…083ebacked Pelicans	49c	6,129$3,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,110.84	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,649.97	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans	54c	4,787$2,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,183.77	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84dd…33e4backed Raptors	52c	4,659$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,422.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	52c	4,087$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134.42	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa8…29e0backed Pelicans	48c	4,085$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,124.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Raptors	53c	4,083$2,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,163.84	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff1f…f873backed Pelicans	48c	4,022$1,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,091.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54df…5a9bbacked Pelicans	48c	3,922$1,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,039.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46e1…b357backed Raptors	52c	3,655$1,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors	50c	3,524$1,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,773.46	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf81e…01d1backed Raptors	52c	3,448$1,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,792.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors	51c	3,340$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.63	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7843…ab51backed Raptors	52c	3,220$1,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,674.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7da…da68backed Raptors	52c	2,902$1,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f25…d99abacked Pelicans	48c	2,820$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,466.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pelicans	49c	2,757$1,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.14	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664f…83dbbacked Pelicans	48c	2,535$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Raptors	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Pelicans	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ec…1b37backed Raptors	52c	2,465$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…6a06backed Pelicans	48c	2,455$1,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcca3…0371backed Raptors	52c	2,454$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb579…6f10backed Raptors	51c	2,418$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12c9…a471backed Pelicans	49c	2,400$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83f3…f9f8backed Pelicans	48c	2,397$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,246.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Pelicans	49c	2,390$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.8	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422b…8105backed Pelicans	48c	2,387$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b3…f449backed Raptors	52c	2,385$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f79…49a2backed Raptors	52c	2,385$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ad…df1abacked Raptors	52c	2,385$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fee…9f33backed Pelicans	48c	2,356$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d90…7744backed Pelicans	48c	2,333$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d1…ac09backed Pelicans	48c	2,333$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.16	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe290…b41cbacked Pelicans	49c	2,300$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba3f…19fbbacked Pelicans	49c	2,295$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb2…91c3backed Pelicans	48c	2,250$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83aa…e941backed Raptors	51c	2,227$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb710…0cf6backed Pelicans	49c	2,199$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…fe43backed Raptors	52c	2,136$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa6…0a17backed Raptors	52c	2,115$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf0…d04cbacked Pelicans	48c	2,074$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf42…fc9bbacked Pelicans	48c	2,073$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76f2…1a04backed Pelicans	48c	2,066$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caa…9d2bbacked Raptors	52c	2,056$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,069.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeec7…fa88backed Raptors	52c	2,055$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pelicans	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.9	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Pelicans	50c	2,041$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.82	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc8…5c89backed Pelicans	48c	2,026$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd8c…d76dbacked Raptors	52c	2,012$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdae9…2fbdbacked Pelicans	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans	49c	1,991$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.17	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…00debacked Pelicans	49c	1,973$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0726…b887backed Raptors	51c	1,965$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf99…d1c5backed Pelicans	48c	1,958$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,018.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…328dbacked Pelicans	48c	1,956$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f77…b786backed Pelicans	48c	1,955$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff95…7cb5backed Pelicans	49c	1,954$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcae9…e37ebacked Pelicans	48c	1,938$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6266…d460backed Raptors	51c	1,932$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1644…1f1ebacked Pelicans	48c	1,888$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$981.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce3a…d999backed Pelicans	48c	1,873$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bec…52c6backed Pelicans	48c	1,854$890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Raptors	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.08	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa205…33e3backed Pelicans	49c	1,841$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x347f…f120backed Pelicans	49c	1,800$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x634e…42f8backed Raptors	52c	1,752$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$911.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eea…237abacked Raptors	52c	1,746$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	47c	1,722$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e7…e790backed Pelicans	48c	1,700$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…1a4cbacked Raptors	52c	1,681$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65de…63d6backed Raptors	51c	1,679$856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9278…4884backed Raptors	52c	1,662$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1918…9abdbacked Raptors	52c	1,658$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…a0fcbacked Raptors	51c	1,639$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eee…44d0backed Raptors	52c	1,630$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf75b…a2c2backed Pelicans	49c	1,598$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf79…1030backed Raptors	52c	1,545$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2daa…ab52backed Raptors	52c	1,540$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Raptors	51c	1,500$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.99	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cff…bd36backed Raptors	52c	1,490$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Pelicans	49c	1,472$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.45	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…c9aabacked Pelicans	48c	1,463$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…8c0bbacked Pelicans	48c	1,458$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.16	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	49cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans	49c	1,409$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.37	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors	51c	1,400$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors	61c	1,336$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.1	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Raptors	53c	1,281$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Raptors	54c	1,259$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Pelicans	49c	1,156$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.76	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e75…0609backed Raptors	52c	1,128$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Raptors (-1.5)this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-0.5)Pelicans won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Derik Queen: Points O/U 7.5No won
Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 21.5No won
Raptors vs. PelicansPelicans won
Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Pelicans won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event