NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c8ba51eabf468efc8f15aac0251e1664cbc9e8cc3d50a5e3575eec165bd5e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 29,372$15,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,254.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under | 48c | 24,699$11,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,843.48 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,591$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 6,622$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.68 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 4,933$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.82 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 4,060$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…a2a5backed Under | 50c | 3,822$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ce…21a1backed Over | 50c | 3,766$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7339…3267backed Under | 50c | 3,756$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…8d42backed Over | 50c | 3,455$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Under | 48c | 3,240$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…9106backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…b2cfbacked Under | 50c | 3,102$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 2,988$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,886$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.62 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…0614backed Over | 50c | 2,858$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…96cabacked Under | 50c | 2,655$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…cee0backed Over | 50c | 2,653$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…3a8ebacked Over | 50c | 2,652$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 2,627$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.44 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 2,462$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…cc2dbacked Under | 50c | 2,366$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…ff02backed Under | 50c | 2,258$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…0079backed Over | 50c | 2,246$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e35ebacked Over | 50c | 2,156$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…7744backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 48c | 1,988$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.96 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…069dbacked Under | 50c | 1,956$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 1,721$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.46 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…328dbacked Under | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3282…7b44backed Under | 50c | 1,622$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…b786backed Under | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…293abacked Over | 50c | 1,425$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…6bc5backed Over | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1644…1f1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,255$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.3 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,120$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.16 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…65b3backed Under | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 880.27$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.92 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 47c | 851.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.21 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 53c | 775$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.75 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 53c | 759.55$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 727.62$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 690.48$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 595$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 584.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 574.04$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 532.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 41c | 497.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.91 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 54c | 412.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 42c | 354.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 51c | 353.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 299.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 52c | 289.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 53c | 284.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 53c | 267.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 43c | 261.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 251.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 51c | 235.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 57c | 225.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Under | 48c | 208.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 207.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 191.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 53c | 189.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 188.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 48c | 184.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 147.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 52c | 136.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 120.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 53c | 114.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 47c | 114.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 112.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…294fbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 100.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…2959backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 99.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-0.5)Pelicans won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Derik Queen: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Raptors vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Saddiq Bey: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.