MLB · resolved market
Final Stage: Canada vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93cff3f71849b4e38a98a5d152b48f5fd32937afea53c5b3a998db9db5ebdcba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Canada, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,278 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canada | 14c | 59,315$8,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,372.36 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Canada | 10c | 47,743$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Canada | 15c | 41,456$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,263 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canada | 14c | 18,760$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.45 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Canada | 8c | 13,794$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.62 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Canada | 14c | 10,471$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Canada | 12c | 8,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Canada | 4c | 7,812$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Canada | 4c | 7,041$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canada | 4c | 6,475$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Canada | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Canada | 9c | 4,686$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.64 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Canada | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 10c | 4,049$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Canada | 0c | 3,802$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canada | 13c | 3,184$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.9 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Canada | 7c | 2,877$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Canada | 2c | 2,840$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Canada | 10c | 2,496$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Canada | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Canada | 21c | 1,963$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…e1febacked Canada | 1c | 1,736$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Canada | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…b25bbacked Canada | 6c | 1,581$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Canada | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Canada | 14c | 1,258$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…8d03backed Canada | 4c | 1,128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Canada | 4c | 1,034$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…9f11backed Canada | 2c | 1,030$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Canada | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Canada | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…d1debacked Canada | 16c | 954.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…f05cbacked Canada | 13c | 930.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…b232backed Canada | 6c | 829.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Canada | 13c | 799.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Canada | 13c | 786.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…434bbacked Canada | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…b23ebacked Canada | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Canada | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Canada | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canada | 5c | 600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Canada | 21c | 563.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Canada | 10c | 522$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USA | 70c | 501.35$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked Canada | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Canada | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Canada | 2c | 499.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Canada | 12c | 493.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Canada | 4c | 493$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canada | 11c | 455.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Canada | 13c | 446.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canada | 6c | 445.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Canada | 14c | 436.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…ef65backed Canada | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Canada | 14c | 400.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Canada | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Canada | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Canada | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…8b3cbacked Canada | 11c | 399.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…2c27backed Canada | 8c | 375.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Canada | 13c | 374$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canada | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Canada | 13c | 349.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Canada | 6c | 328.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Canada | 13c | 313.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Canada | 16c | 294.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Canada | 15c | 284.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4d4cbacked Canada | 14c | 277.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Canada | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…c1acbacked Canada | 14c | 270.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…3eb1backed Canada | 13c | 267.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Canada | 13c | 257$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…5d41backed Canada | 16c | 250.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Canada | 13c | 244.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ec…6fe7backed Canada | 11c | 243.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…2addbacked Canada | 5c | 242.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Canada | 5c | 222.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canada | 12c | 221.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e630backed Canada | 13c | 220.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Canada | 15c | 217.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…645ebacked Canada | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Canada | 17c | 200.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canada | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…c111backed Canada | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Canada | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…bfa1backed Canada | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…165cbacked Canada | 13c | 193.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…dbd2backed Canada | 14c | 176.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Canada | 13c | 176$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canada | 7c | 169.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b0…cf23backed Canada | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Canada | 12c | 165.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Canada | 13c | 163$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…5642backed Canada | 10c | 157.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…a63fbacked Canada | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Canada | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…dc38backed Canada | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Canada | 13c | 149.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…894ebacked Canada | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.